Alpha Metallurgical Resources Stock Z Score

AMR Stock

USD 228.71 0.00 0.00%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Alpha Metallurgical Piotroski F Score and Alpha Metallurgical Valuation analysis.

At this time, Alpha Metallurgical's Capital Stock is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/16/2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.43, while Capital Surpluse is likely to drop slightly above 629.1 M. At this time, Alpha Metallurgical's Interest Income is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/16/2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 1.7 B, while Interest Expense is likely to drop slightly above 6.6 M.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Company Z Score Analysis

Alpha Metallurgical's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Alpha Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Alpha Metallurgical is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Alpha Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Alpha Metallurgical's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Alpha Metallurgical's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Alpha Metallurgical's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Long Term Debt Total	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Common Stock	Short Term Investments	Net Invested Capital	Treasury Stock	Net Working Capital	Long Term Investments	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.61	0.46	-0.19	0.46	0.43	0.02	0.53	0.03	0.46	0.59	0.41	0.48	0.33	0.66	0.71	0.53	0.52	0.66	0.7	0.07	0.83	-0.55	0.71	0.49	0.41
Total Stockholder Equity	0.61		-0.19	-0.7	0.16	-0.16	-0.71	0.08	-0.71	-0.42	0.04	-0.31	-0.35	0.73	0.28	0.03	0.38	-0.21	0.43	0.01	0.34	0.23	0.08	0.36	0.28	0.2
Current Deferred Revenue	0.46	-0.19		0.63	-0.01	0.43	0.71	0.46	0.71	0.74	0.4	0.59	0.71	-0.17	0.15	0.53	-0.16	0.61	0.01	0.51	-0.23	0.49	-0.45	0.25	0.0	-0.11
Net Debt	-0.19	-0.7	0.63		-0.5	0.03	0.9	-0.13	0.9	0.58	-0.11	0.67	0.51	-0.25	-0.45	0.09	-0.68	0.62	-0.45	0.07	-0.38	-0.1	-0.07	-0.4	-0.46	-0.57
Retained Earnings	0.46	0.16	-0.01	-0.5		0.8	-0.09	0.76	-0.09	0.34	0.83	0.03	0.36	-0.45	0.96	0.66	0.96	0.06	0.79	0.69	0.01	0.78	-0.61	0.87	0.85	0.92
Accounts Payable	0.43	-0.16	0.43	0.03	0.8		0.43	0.85	0.43	0.68	0.93	0.4	0.72	-0.67	0.79	0.78	0.64	0.39	0.71	0.78	-0.02	0.85	-0.66	0.81	0.67	0.57
Long Term Debt	0.02	-0.71	0.71	0.9	-0.09	0.43		0.21	1.0	0.83	0.31	0.82	0.77	-0.5	-0.05	0.44	-0.31	0.76	-0.08	0.42	-0.31	0.28	-0.39	-0.02	-0.14	-0.24
Net Receivables	0.53	0.08	0.46	-0.13	0.76	0.85	0.21		0.21	0.51	0.91	0.11	0.48	-0.52	0.81	0.83	0.68	0.15	0.63	0.83	-0.03	0.82	-0.76	0.9	0.82	0.66
Long Term Debt Total	0.03	-0.71	0.71	0.9	-0.09	0.43	1.0	0.21		0.83	0.31	0.82	0.77	-0.5	-0.05	0.44	-0.31	0.76	-0.08	0.42	-0.31	0.28	-0.39	-0.01	-0.13	-0.24
Total Liab	0.46	-0.42	0.74	0.58	0.34	0.68	0.83	0.51	0.83		0.64	0.82	0.95	-0.44	0.44	0.78	0.18	0.83	0.27	0.79	-0.3	0.69	-0.73	0.4	0.24	0.25
Total Current Assets	0.59	0.04	0.4	-0.11	0.83	0.93	0.31	0.91	0.31	0.64		0.36	0.62	-0.51	0.88	0.9	0.74	0.37	0.8	0.9	0.13	0.92	-0.81	0.94	0.78	0.67
Short Term Debt	0.41	-0.31	0.59	0.67	0.03	0.4	0.82	0.11	0.82	0.82	0.36		0.81	-0.11	0.13	0.51	-0.1	0.98	0.23	0.5	-0.15	0.5	-0.35	0.12	-0.1	-0.15
Intangible Assets	0.48	-0.35	0.71	0.51	0.36	0.72	0.77	0.48	0.77	0.95	0.62	0.81		-0.4	0.44	0.7	0.2	0.83	0.34	0.7	-0.18	0.71	-0.59	0.41	0.18	0.2
Property Plant Equipment	0.33	0.73	-0.17	-0.25	-0.45	-0.67	-0.5	-0.52	-0.5	-0.44	-0.51	-0.11	-0.4		-0.32	-0.34	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-0.37	0.17	-0.24	0.41	-0.28	-0.33	-0.34
Net Tangible Assets	0.66	0.28	0.15	-0.45	0.96	0.79	-0.05	0.81	-0.05	0.44	0.88	0.13	0.44	-0.32		0.78	0.95	0.18	0.82	0.81	0.05	0.89	-0.72	0.94	0.85	0.9
Capital Surpluse	0.71	0.03	0.53	0.09	0.66	0.78	0.44	0.83	0.44	0.78	0.9	0.51	0.7	-0.34	0.78		0.6	0.57	0.66	1.0	-0.13	0.91	-0.93	0.83	0.73	0.6
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.53	0.38	-0.16	-0.68	0.96	0.64	-0.31	0.68	-0.31	0.18	0.74	-0.1	0.2	-0.24	0.95	0.6		-0.04	0.8	0.63	0.14	0.73	-0.56	0.86	0.85	0.94
Short Long Term Debt	0.52	-0.21	0.61	0.62	0.06	0.39	0.76	0.15	0.76	0.83	0.37	0.98	0.83	-0.02	0.18	0.57	-0.04		0.27	0.55	-0.16	0.55	-0.41	0.18	-0.04	-0.1
Cash And Equivalents	0.66	0.43	0.01	-0.45	0.79	0.71	-0.08	0.63	-0.08	0.27	0.8	0.23	0.34	-0.11	0.82	0.66	0.8	0.27		0.64	0.26	0.82	-0.5	0.86	0.75	0.6
Common Stock	0.7	0.01	0.51	0.07	0.69	0.78	0.42	0.83	0.42	0.79	0.9	0.5	0.7	-0.37	0.81	1.0	0.63	0.55	0.64		-0.12	0.91	-0.95	0.83	0.73	0.65
Short Term Investments	0.07	0.34	-0.23	-0.38	0.01	-0.02	-0.31	-0.03	-0.31	-0.3	0.13	-0.15	-0.18	0.17	0.05	-0.13	0.14	-0.16	0.26	-0.12		0.03	0.17	0.18	-0.14	-0.09
Net Invested Capital	0.83	0.23	0.49	-0.1	0.78	0.85	0.28	0.82	0.28	0.69	0.92	0.5	0.71	-0.24	0.89	0.91	0.73	0.55	0.82	0.91	0.03		-0.76	0.91	0.7	0.64
Treasury Stock	-0.55	0.08	-0.45	-0.07	-0.61	-0.66	-0.39	-0.76	-0.39	-0.73	-0.81	-0.35	-0.59	0.41	-0.72	-0.93	-0.56	-0.41	-0.5	-0.95	0.17	-0.76		-0.73	-0.71	-0.66
Net Working Capital	0.71	0.36	0.25	-0.4	0.87	0.81	-0.02	0.9	-0.01	0.4	0.94	0.12	0.41	-0.28	0.94	0.83	0.86	0.18	0.86	0.83	0.18	0.91	-0.73		0.87	0.77
Long Term Investments	0.49	0.28	0.0	-0.46	0.85	0.67	-0.14	0.82	-0.13	0.24	0.78	-0.1	0.18	-0.33	0.85	0.73	0.85	-0.04	0.75	0.73	-0.14	0.7	-0.71	0.87		0.84
Capital Stock	0.41	0.2	-0.11	-0.57	0.92	0.57	-0.24	0.66	-0.24	0.25	0.67	-0.15	0.2	-0.34	0.9	0.6	0.94	-0.1	0.6	0.65	-0.09	0.64	-0.66	0.77	0.84

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Alpha Metallurgical

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and about the same as Materials (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Alpha Metallurgical ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alpha Metallurgical's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alpha Metallurgical's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Alpha Metallurgical Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Alpha Metallurgical that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Alpha Metallurgical's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Alpha Metallurgical's value.

		Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-09-30	154.3 K
Norges Bank	2024-06-30	137.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc	2024-09-30	129.8 K
Millennium Management Llc	2024-09-30	124.6 K
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	114.7 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.	2024-09-30	113.7 K
Amvescap Plc.	2024-09-30	113.5 K
Crocodile Capital Partners Gmbh	2024-09-30	102.4 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc	2024-09-30	90.4 K
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	1.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	1.2 M

Alpha Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.23
	Return On Asset	0.11
	Profit Margin	0.11 %
	Operating Margin	0 %
	Current Valuation	2.5 B
	Shares Outstanding	13.02 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	11.19 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	86.19 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	982 K
	Price To Earning	2.10 X
	Price To Book	1.80 X
	Price To Sales	0.90 X
	Revenue	3.47 B
	Gross Profit	1.82 B
	EBITDA	1.02 B
	Net Income	721.96 M
	Cash And Equivalents	301.91 M
	Cash Per Share	25.37 X
	Total Debt	14.41 M
	Debt To Equity	0 %
	Current Ratio	3.36 X
	Book Value Per Share	126.81 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	851.16 M
	Short Ratio	5.64 X
	Earnings Per Share	27.26 X
	Target Price	332.0
	Number Of Employees	4.11 K
	Beta	1.36
	Market Capitalization	2.98 B
	Total Asset	2.41 B
	Retained Earnings	1.97 B
	Working Capital	738.37 M
	Current Asset	435.66 K
	Current Liabilities	3.91 M
	Net Asset	2.41 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.5

About Alpha Metallurgical Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alpha Metallurgical Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alpha Metallurgical using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alpha Metallurgical Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Alpha Metallurgical

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alpha Metallurgical position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alpha Metallurgical will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Alpha Stock

0.78	HCC	Warrior Met Coal	Pair Corr
0.74	SXC	SunCoke Energy	Pair Corr
0.91	METC	Ramaco Resources	Pair Corr

Moving against Alpha Stock

0.75	AU	AngloGold Ashanti plc	Pair Corr
0.72	HL	Hecla Mining	Pair Corr
0.66	CE	Celanese	Pair Corr
0.58	FF	FutureFuel Corp	Pair Corr
0.58	NB	NioCorp Developments	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alpha Metallurgical could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alpha Metallurgical when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alpha Metallurgical - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alpha Metallurgical Resources to buy it.

The correlation of Alpha Metallurgical is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alpha Metallurgical moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alpha Metallurgical moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alpha Metallurgical can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis

When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Stock Z Score

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Alpha Z Score Driver Correlations

Alpha Metallurgical ESG Sustainability

Alpha Metallurgical Institutional Holders

Alpha Fundamentals

About Alpha Metallurgical Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Alpha Metallurgical

Moving together with Alpha Stock

Moving against Alpha Stock

Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis

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