Ambow Education Holding Stock Beneish M Score

AMBO Stock  USD 3.09  0.08  2.66%   
This module uses fundamental data of Ambow Education to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ambow Education M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ambow Education Piotroski F Score and Ambow Education Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 22nd of March 2025, Net Debt is likely to grow to about 7.2 M, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 5.5 M. At this time, Ambow Education's Company Equity Multiplier is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of March 2025, Net Income Per E B T is likely to grow to 2.20, while ROIC is likely to drop (0.30).
At this time, it appears that Ambow Education Holding is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ambow Education's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ambow Education executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ambow Education's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.57
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.58

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.08

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.1

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.95

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.05

Focus

Ambow Education Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ambow Education's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net ReceivablesM2.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue7.8 M8.2 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets17.6 M18.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets10.7 M11.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total6.9 M7.2 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment480.5 M457.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.8 M1.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative4.5 M4.7 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities8.4 M8.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total3.7 M3.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt5.5 M5.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments19.4 M20.4 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.260.24
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Ambow Education Holding Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ambow Education's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ambow Education in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ambow Education's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Ambow Education Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

17.58 Million

At this time, Ambow Education's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year.

Ambow Education Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ambow Education. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables17.3M2.4M8.0M2.3M2.1M2.0M
Total Revenue18.4M17.8M14.8M9.2M8.2M7.8M
Total Assets160.7M152.2M25.5M20.6M18.5M17.6M
Total Current Assets64.9M59.6M15.8M12.5M11.3M10.7M
Net Debt26.8M20.5M8.4M5.9M6.8M7.2M
Short Term Debt9.8M5.2M6.0M6.4M5.8M5.5M
Operating Income(7.8M)(8.6M)(9.5M)(4.3M)(5.0M)(5.2M)
Investments(28.5M)(33.2M)(75M)107.2M(134.4M)0.0

Ambow Education ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ambow Education's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ambow Education's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Ambow Education Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ambow Education Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ambow Education using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambow Education Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Ambow Education

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ambow Education position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ambow Education will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Ambow Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ambow Education could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ambow Education when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ambow Education - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ambow Education Holding to buy it.
The correlation of Ambow Education is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ambow Education moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ambow Education Holding moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ambow Education can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Ambow Education Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ambow Education's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ambow Education Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ambow Education Holding Stock:
Check out Ambow Education Piotroski F Score and Ambow Education Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambow Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.361
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Revenue Per Share
2.744
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
The market value of Ambow Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambow Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambow Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambow Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambow Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambow Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambow Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.