Agm Group Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AGMH Stock | USD 1.25 0.07 5.30% |
AGM | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
AGM Group Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis
AGM Group's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current AGM Group Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 40% |
Most of AGM Group's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, AGM Group Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of AGM Group probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting AGM Group odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of AGM Group Holdings financial health.
Is Financial Exchanges & Data space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGM Group. If investors know AGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGM Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share (0.31) | Revenue Per Share 3.83 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) | Return On Assets (0.05) |
The market value of AGM Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGM Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGM Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGM Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGM Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGM Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGM Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGM Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
AGM Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for AGM Group is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of AGM Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since AGM Group's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of AGM Group's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of AGM Group's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, AGM Group Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 40.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Capital Markets average (which is currently at 40.46) sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. This indicator is about the same for all United States stocks average (which is currently at 39.83).
AGM Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses AGM Group's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of AGM Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGM Group by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.AGM Group is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
AGM Group Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.11) | (0.18) | 0.0398 | 0.0916 | (0.0763) | (0.0801) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.58 | 0.0489 | 0.008717 | 0.41 | 1.94 | 0.95 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.66 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.0447 | 0.0425 | |
| Net Debt | (1.5M) | 49.8K | (16.8M) | 4.0M | 8.0M | 8.4M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 2.7M | 2.4M | 64.1M | 94.5M | 78.0M | 81.9M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 70.8K | (1.0) | 147.8K | 266.2K | 133.1K | 75.5K | |
| Total Assets | 14.5M | 6.1M | 89.3M | 125.2M | 97.5M | 102.4M | |
| Total Current Assets | 7.3M | 6.1M | 88.6M | 116.8M | 87.1M | 91.5M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (196.4K) | (1.7M) | (1.9M) | (17.3M) | (1.7M) | (1.8M) |
AGM Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.3 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0519 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.55) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 40 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 24.25 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 29.27 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.55 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 39.05 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.12 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.65 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.33 X | ||||
| Revenue | 92.91 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 6.6 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (8.77 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (7.44 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 18.45 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.76 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 9.58 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.80 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.69 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.35 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.31) X | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 28 | ||||
| Beta | 0.98 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 30.32 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 97.55 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.3 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 9.14 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 13.91 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 10.38 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 97.55 M |
About AGM Group Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AGM Group Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AGM Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGM Group Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether AGM Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AGM Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Agm Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Agm Group Holdings Stock:Check out AGM Group Piotroski F Score and AGM Group Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Financial Exchanges & Data space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGM Group. If investors know AGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGM Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share (0.31) | Revenue Per Share 3.83 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) | Return On Assets (0.05) |
The market value of AGM Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGM Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGM Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGM Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGM Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGM Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGM Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGM Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.