Agm Group Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

AGMH Stock  USD 1.80  0.05  2.86%   
This module uses fundamental data of AGM Group to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. AGM Group M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out AGM Group Piotroski F Score and AGM Group Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, AGM Group's Net Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The AGM Group's current Debt To Equity is estimated to increase to 0.51, while Net Debt To EBITDA is projected to decrease to (0.96). As of now, AGM Group's Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is increasing as compared to previous years. The AGM Group's current Average Inventory is estimated to increase to about 10.6 M, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.45.
At this time, it appears that AGM Group Holdings is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if AGM Group's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by AGM Group executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of AGM Group's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.13
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

3.31

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.98

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.95

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.98

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.52

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

AGM Group Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if AGM Group's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables14.9 M8.6 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets102.4 M97.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets91.5 M87.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization572 K544.8 K
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative7.1 M13.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities81.9 M78 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.04250.0447
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

AGM Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between AGM Group's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards AGM Group in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find AGM Group's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About AGM Group Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

102.42 Million

As of now, AGM Group's Total Assets are increasing as compared to previous years.

AGM Group Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as AGM Group. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Total Revenue709.6K53.3K36.7M242.4M92.9M48.6M
Total Assets14.5M6.1M89.3M125.2M97.5M102.4M
Total Current Assets7.3M6.1M88.6M116.8M87.1M91.5M
Net Debt(1.5M)49.8K(16.8M)4.0M8.0M8.4M
Short Term Debt609.2K714.4K1.6M9.5M10.9M11.5M
Operating Income(1.2M)(1.0M)4.9M16.2M(9.2M)(8.8M)
Investments(5.0M)(1.2K)(339.7K)(332.3K)(10.7K)(11.2K)
Gross Profit Margin0.660.280.180.190.04470.0425

About AGM Group Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AGM Group Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AGM Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGM Group Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether AGM Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AGM Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Agm Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Agm Group Holdings Stock:
Check out AGM Group Piotroski F Score and AGM Group Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Financial Exchanges & Data space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGM Group. If investors know AGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGM Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Earnings Share
(0.31)
Revenue Per Share
3.83
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.56)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of AGM Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGM Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGM Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGM Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGM Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGM Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGM Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGM Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.