Adobe Systems Incorporated Stock Beneish M Score

ADBE Stock  USD 515.93  2.25  0.44%   
This module uses fundamental data of Adobe Systems to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Adobe Systems M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Adobe Systems Piotroski F Score and Adobe Systems Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Adobe Systems' Net Debt To EBITDA is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Equity is expected to grow to 0.46, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 2.4 B. At present, Adobe Systems' Days Sales Outstanding is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 20.04, whereas PTB Ratio is forecasted to decline to 6.71.
At this time, it appears that Adobe Systems is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Adobe Systems' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Adobe Systems executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Adobe Systems' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.66
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.81

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.06

Focus

Adobe Systems Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Adobe Systems' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables2.7 B2.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue23.4 B22.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets36 B34.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets13.4 B12.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total22.6 B21.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment2.3 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization746.2 M710.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.7 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities10 B9.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities TotalB5.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt301.9 M167.9 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt2.4 B4.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating IncomeB7.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities8.8 B8.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.5 B806.1 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.70.8677
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

Adobe Systems Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Adobe Systems' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Adobe Systems in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Adobe Systems' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Adobe Systems Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

746.24 Million

At present, Adobe Systems' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Adobe Systems Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Adobe Systems. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.4B1.9B2.1B2.2B2.6B2.7B
Total Revenue12.9B15.8B17.6B19.4B22.3B23.4B
Total Assets24.3B27.2B27.2B29.8B34.2B36.0B
Total Current Assets8.1B8.7B9.0B11.1B12.7B13.4B
Net Debt230M829M397M(3.1B)(3.5B)(3.3B)
Short Term Debt184M194M587M146M167.9M301.9M
Long Term Debt4.1B4.1B3.6B3.6B4.2B2.4B
Operating Income4.2B5.8B6.1B6.7B7.6B8.0B
Investments5M(3.5B)(570M)776M892.4M937.0M

Adobe Systems ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Adobe Systems' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Adobe Systems' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Adobe Systems Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Adobe Systems Incorporated's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Adobe Systems using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Adobe Systems Incorporated based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Adobe Systems is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adobe Systems' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adobe Systems' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adobe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adobe Systems. If investors know Adobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adobe Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.233
Earnings Share
11.81
Revenue Per Share
46.482
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Return On Assets
0.1597
The market value of Adobe Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adobe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adobe Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adobe Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adobe Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adobe Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adobe Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adobe Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adobe Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.