Arlington Asset Investment Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AAICDelisted Stock | USD 4.69 0.06 1.26% |
Arlington |
Arlington Asset Investment Company probability of distress Analysis
Arlington Asset's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Arlington Asset Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 100% |
Most of Arlington Asset's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Arlington Asset Investment is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Arlington Asset probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Arlington Asset odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Arlington Asset Investment financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
CompetitionBased on the latest financial disclosure, Arlington Asset Investment has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is 133.81% higher than that of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 151.07% lower than that of the firm.
Arlington Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Arlington Asset's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Arlington Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arlington Asset by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Arlington Asset is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Arlington Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.002 | |||
| Return On Asset | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 2.02 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 178.13 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 28.32 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.97 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 43.00 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 88.63 K | |||
| Price To Earning | 784.00 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 7.08 X | |||
| Revenue | 30.53 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 3.75 M | |||
| EBITDA | 21.87 M | |||
| Net Income | 5.43 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 505.35 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 17.49 X | |||
| Total Debt | 255.75 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 3.48 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.37 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.38 M) | |||
| Short Ratio | 0.66 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.08) X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.46) X | |||
| Target Price | 5.5 | |||
| Beta | 1.49 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 135.38 M | |||
| Total Asset | 1 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (1.84 B) | |||
| Z Score | -2.15 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.26 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 20.89 % | |||
| Net Asset | 1 B |
About Arlington Asset Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Arlington Asset Investment's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Arlington Asset using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arlington Asset Investment based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Other Consideration for investing in Arlington Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Arlington Asset Inve check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Arlington Asset's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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