Industrial Select Sector Etf Price Prediction
| XLI Etf | USD 131.13 2.35 1.82% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Industrial Select hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrial Select Sector from the perspective of Industrial Select response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Industrial Select using Industrial Select's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Industrial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Industrial Select's stock price.
Industrial Select Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Industrial Select's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Industrial Select Sector stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Industrial Select's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Industrial Select stock will not fluctuate a lot when Industrial Select's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Industrial Select to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Industrial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Industrial Select after-hype prediction price | USD 131.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Industrial contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Industrial Select Sector will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Industrial Select trading at USD 131.13, that is roughly USD 0.0303 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Industrial Select's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Industrial Select Sector options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Industrial |
Industrial Select After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Industrial Select at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Industrial Select or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Industrial Select, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Industrial Select Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Industrial Select's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Industrial Select's historical news coverage. Industrial Select's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 130.10 and 132.10, respectively. We have considered Industrial Select's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Industrial Select is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Industrial Select Sector is based on 3 months time horizon.
Industrial Select Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Industrial Select is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Industrial Select backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Industrial Select, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
131.13 | 131.10 | 0.02 |
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Industrial Select Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Industrial Select Sector is traded for 131.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Industrial is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 131.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Industrial Select is about 666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.14. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.15. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Industrial Select Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Industrial Select Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Industrial Select's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Industrial Select's future price movements. Getting to know how Industrial Select's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Industrial Select may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XLB | Materials Select Sector | 0.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.31 | (1.83) | 4.69 | |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary Select | (0.81) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.02 | (2.54) | 6.26 | |
| XLP | Consumer Staples Select | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.17 | (1.56) | 4.88 | |
| XLV | Health Care Select | 1.22 | 10 per month | 0.72 | 0.14 | 1.30 | (1.19) | 3.34 | |
| XLU | Utilities Select Sector | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.09 | 1.86 | (2.16) | 4.84 |
Industrial Select Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Industrial Select Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Industrial Select stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Industrial Select Sector, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Industrial Select based on analysis of Industrial Select hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Industrial Select's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Industrial Select's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Industrial Select
The number of cover stories for Industrial Select depends on current market conditions and Industrial Select's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Industrial Select is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Industrial Select's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Industrial Select Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
The market value of Industrial Select Sector is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Industrial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Industrial Select's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Industrial Select's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Industrial Select's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Industrial Select's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Industrial Select's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Industrial Select is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Industrial Select's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.