Vulcan Materials Stock Price Prediction
| VMC Stock | USD 231.32 6.28 2.79% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.297 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0541 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.4132 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.869 | Wall Street Target Price 298.6413 |
Using Vulcan Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vulcan Materials from the perspective of Vulcan Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vulcan Materials using Vulcan Materials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vulcan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vulcan Materials' stock price.
Vulcan Materials Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vulcan Materials' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vulcan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vulcan Materials stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 257.574 | Short Percent 0.0149 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 258.2696 |
Vulcan Materials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vulcan Materials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vulcan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vulcan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vulcan Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vulcan Materials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vulcan Materials.
Vulcan Materials Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Vulcan Materials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vulcan Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vulcan Materials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vulcan Materials stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vulcan Materials' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vulcan Materials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vulcan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vulcan Materials after-hype prediction price | USD 228.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vulcan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vulcan Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Vulcan Materials trading at USD 231.32, that is roughly USD 0.0723 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vulcan Materials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vulcan Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Vulcan |
Vulcan Materials After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vulcan Materials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vulcan Materials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vulcan Materials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vulcan Materials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vulcan Materials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vulcan Materials' historical news coverage. Vulcan Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 226.90 and 254.45, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Materials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vulcan Materials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vulcan Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vulcan Materials Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vulcan Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vulcan Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vulcan Materials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.64 | 2.78 | 0.13 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
231.32 | 228.54 | 1.20 |
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Vulcan Materials Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Vulcan Materials is traded for 231.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.78, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Vulcan is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 228.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 16.52%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Vulcan Materials is about 345.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 231.19. About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Vulcan Materials was at this time reported as 61.46. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.91. Vulcan Materials recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 11th of March 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Vulcan Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vulcan Materials Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vulcan Materials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vulcan Materials' future price movements. Getting to know how Vulcan Materials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vulcan Materials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXP | Eagle Materials | (3.98) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.25 | (3.49) | 7.34 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | 1.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.30 | (3.84) | 10.53 | |
| SUM | Summit Materials | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.34 | 0.22 | 1.54 | (0.79) | 9.88 | |
| CX | Cemex SAB de | (0.16) | 7 per month | 2.01 | 0.07 | 3.41 | (3.14) | 18.09 | |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.63 | (2.60) | 6.66 | |
| JHX | James Hardie Industries | (0.23) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (3.29) | 8.04 | |
| USLM | United States Lime | (1.37) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.10 | (5.51) | 10.04 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.04 | (2.90) | 10.27 | |
| MCEM | The Monarch Cement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.15 | 2.10 | (1.44) | 5.74 | |
| LOMA | Loma Negra Compania | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 5.19 | (5.71) | 18.71 |
Vulcan Materials Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vulcan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vulcan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vulcan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vulcan Materials Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vulcan Materials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vulcan Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vulcan Materials based on analysis of Vulcan Materials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vulcan Materials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vulcan Materials's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009129 | 0.007565 | 0.007182 | 0.006822 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.18 | 3.88 | 4.59 | 4.82 |
Story Coverage note for Vulcan Materials
The number of cover stories for Vulcan Materials depends on current market conditions and Vulcan Materials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vulcan Materials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vulcan Materials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vulcan Materials Short Properties
Vulcan Materials' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vulcan Materials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vulcan Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vulcan Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vulcan Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 559.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Vulcan Stock analysis
When running Vulcan Materials' price analysis, check to measure Vulcan Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vulcan Materials is operating at the current time. Most of Vulcan Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vulcan Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vulcan Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vulcan Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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