V-Mart Retail (India) Price Prediction

VMART Stock   2,795  14.55  0.52%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of V-Mart Retail's share price is approaching 39. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling V-Mart Retail, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of V-Mart Retail's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with V Mart Retail Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting V-Mart Retail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.523
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
24.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
49.4
Wall Street Target Price
4.3 K
Using V-Mart Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of V Mart Retail Limited from the perspective of V-Mart Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in V-Mart Retail to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying V-Mart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

V-Mart Retail after-hype prediction price

    
  INR 2831.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out V-Mart Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V-Mart Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,5892,5923,074
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
12.0012.7013.32
Details

V-Mart Retail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of V-Mart Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in V-Mart Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of V-Mart Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

V-Mart Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting V-Mart Retail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on V-Mart Retail's historical news coverage. V-Mart Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,515 and 2,835, respectively. We have considered V-Mart Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,795
2,832
After-hype Price
2,835
Upside
V-Mart Retail is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of V Mart Retail is based on 3 months time horizon.

V-Mart Retail Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as V-Mart Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading V-Mart Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with V-Mart Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
2.58
  39.94 
  3.04 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,795
2,832
1.34 
3.10  
Notes

V-Mart Retail Hype Timeline

V Mart Retail is at this time traded for 2,795on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 39.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -3.04. V-Mart is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2831.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 3.1%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on V-Mart Retail is about 40.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,792. The company reported the revenue of 27.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (967.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.39 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out V-Mart Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

V-Mart Retail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to V-Mart Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict V-Mart Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how V-Mart Retail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how V-Mart Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
APOLLOHOSPApollo Hospitals Enterprise 7.20 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.79 (2.54) 8.81 
HCGHealthcare Global Enterprises(5.30)4 per month 2.39  0.04  3.57 (2.59) 14.20 
MEDPLUSMedplus Health Services(25.40)3 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.84 (3.51) 9.42 
ASTERDMAster DM Healthcare(24.20)6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.67 (3.11) 9.33 
CARTRADECartrade Tech Limited(27.65)1 per month 3.26  0.06  5.60 (5.17) 17.84 
SAKARSakar Healthcare Limited 1.05 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.33 (5.24) 12.09 
SBILIFESBI Life Insurance 24.70 8 per month 0.00  0.02  2.34 (2.02) 5.67 
CCHHLCountry Club Hospitality(1.02)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.36 (5.10) 17.37 

V-Mart Retail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine V-Mart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for V-Mart using various technical indicators. When you analyze V-Mart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About V-Mart Retail Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of V-Mart Retail stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as V Mart Retail Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of V-Mart Retail based on analysis of V-Mart Retail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to V-Mart Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to V-Mart Retail's related companies.

Story Coverage note for V-Mart Retail

The number of cover stories for V-Mart Retail depends on current market conditions and V-Mart Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that V-Mart Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about V-Mart Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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V-Mart Retail Short Properties

V-Mart Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when V-Mart Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of V Mart Retail Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential V-Mart Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. V-Mart Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments488.5 M

Other Information on Investing in V-Mart Stock

V-Mart Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether V-Mart Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in V-Mart with respect to the benefits of owning V-Mart Retail security.