Vedanta (India) Price Prediction

VEDL Stock   514.35  14.10  2.82%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Vedanta's share price is approaching 44. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vedanta, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vedanta's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vedanta and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vedanta's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vedanta Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vedanta's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.365
EPS Estimate Current Year
15.06
EPS Estimate Next Year
28.4
Wall Street Target Price
515.2667
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
6.03
Using Vedanta hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vedanta Limited from the perspective of Vedanta response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vedanta to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vedanta because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vedanta after-hype prediction price

    
  INR 513.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Vedanta Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
455.95457.77565.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
534.75536.57538.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.7212.1115.18
Details

Vedanta After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vedanta at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vedanta or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vedanta, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vedanta Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vedanta's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vedanta's historical news coverage. Vedanta's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 511.93 and 515.57, respectively. We have considered Vedanta's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
514.35
511.93
Downside
513.75
After-hype Price
515.57
Upside
Vedanta is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vedanta Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vedanta Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vedanta is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vedanta backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vedanta, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.82
  0.60 
  0.64 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
514.35
513.75
0.12 
66.18  
Notes

Vedanta Hype Timeline

Vedanta Limited is at this time traded for 514.35on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.64. Vedanta is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 513.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 66.18%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Vedanta is about 62.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 514.99. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 29.86. Vedanta Limited last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2024. The entity had 10:1 split on the 8th of August 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Vedanta Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vedanta Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vedanta's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vedanta's future price movements. Getting to know how Vedanta's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vedanta may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NMDCNMDC Limited 8.27 6 per month 1.81  0.05  3.96 (3.31) 8.71 
SAILSteel Authority of(0.91)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.24 (3.68) 8.70 
EMBASSY-RREmbassy Office Parks 4.54 4 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.84 (1.96) 4.80 
GNFCGujarat Narmada Valley(0.85)3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.51 (3.55) 11.02 
GUJALKALIGujarat Alkalies and 7.95 2 per month 1.85 (0.05) 3.28 (3.01) 10.86 
IMFAIndian Metals Ferro(8.20)4 per month 1.56  0.22  4.97 (2.75) 11.39 
JTLINDJTL Industries(2.34)5 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.60 (4.83) 60.24 
INDIAGLYCOIndia Glycols Limited(3.75)3 per month 2.55  0.03  5.48 (4.42) 23.17 
MAITHANALLMaithan Alloys Limited 21.60 3 per month 1.51  0.02  4.95 (3.11) 10.91 

Vedanta Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vedanta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vedanta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vedanta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vedanta Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vedanta stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vedanta Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vedanta based on analysis of Vedanta hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vedanta's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vedanta's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Vedanta

The number of cover stories for Vedanta depends on current market conditions and Vedanta's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vedanta is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vedanta's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Vedanta Short Properties

Vedanta's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vedanta's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vedanta Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vedanta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vedanta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments125.2 B

Additional Tools for Vedanta Stock Analysis

When running Vedanta's price analysis, check to measure Vedanta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vedanta is operating at the current time. Most of Vedanta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vedanta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vedanta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vedanta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.