Suro Capital Corp Stock Price Prediction
| SSSSL Stock | USD 24.65 0.30 1.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using SuRo Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SuRo Capital Corp from the perspective of SuRo Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SuRo Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SuRo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SuRo Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 24.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SuRo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SuRo Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SuRo Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SuRo Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SuRo Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SuRo Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SuRo Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SuRo Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SuRo Capital's historical news coverage. SuRo Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.18 and 25.12, respectively. We have considered SuRo Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SuRo Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SuRo Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SuRo Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SuRo Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SuRo Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SuRo Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.65 | 24.65 | 0.00 |
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SuRo Capital Hype Timeline
SuRo Capital Corp is at this time traded for 24.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SuRo is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on SuRo Capital is about 4700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.65. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out SuRo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SuRo Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SuRo Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SuRo Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how SuRo Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SuRo Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OXSQZ | Oxford Square Capital | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.25 | (0.05) | 0.61 | (0.61) | 1.54 | |
| ATLCL | Atlanticus Holdings | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.57 | (0.03) | 0.81 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| OXSQG | Oxford Square Capital | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.35 | 0 | 0.69 | (0.73) | 2.51 | |
| OXLCZ | Oxford Lane Capital | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.08 | (0.03) | 0.30 | (0.34) | 1.06 |
SuRo Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SuRo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SuRo using various technical indicators. When you analyze SuRo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About SuRo Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SuRo Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SuRo Capital Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SuRo Capital based on analysis of SuRo Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SuRo Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SuRo Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.3 | 0.23 | 0.00139 | 0.001321 | Price To Sales Ratio | 234.79 | 33.01 | 15.66 | 14.88 |
Story Coverage note for SuRo Capital
The number of cover stories for SuRo Capital depends on current market conditions and SuRo Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SuRo Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SuRo Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SuRo Capital Short Properties
SuRo Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when SuRo Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SuRo Capital Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SuRo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SuRo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 106 |
Check out SuRo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SuRo Capital. If investors know SuRo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SuRo Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SuRo Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SuRo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SuRo Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SuRo Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SuRo Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SuRo Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SuRo Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SuRo Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SuRo Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.