Sony Group Corp Stock Price Prediction

SONY Stock  USD 24.14  0.95  4.10%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sony Group's stock price is slightly above 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sony, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sony Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sony Group Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sony Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.048
Wall Street Target Price
25.7546
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.177
Using Sony Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sony Group Corp from the perspective of Sony Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sony Group using Sony Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sony using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sony Group's stock price.

Sony Group Short Interest

An investor who is long Sony Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sony Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sony Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
18.7577
Short Percent
0.0013
Short Ratio
2.15
Shares Short Prior Month
7.6 M
50 Day MA
21.4538

Sony Group Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sony Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sony. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sony can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sony Group Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sony Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sony Group.

Sony Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Sony Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sony Group Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sony Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sony Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sony Group's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sony Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sony because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sony Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sony contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sony Group Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Sony Group trading at USD 24.14, that is roughly USD 0.00694 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sony Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sony Group Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Sony Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8325.6027.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.5123.2825.05
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.0924.2726.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Sony Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sony Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sony Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sony Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sony Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sony Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sony Group's historical news coverage. Sony Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.31 and 25.85, respectively. We have considered Sony Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.14
24.08
After-hype Price
25.85
Upside
Sony Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sony Group Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sony Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sony Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sony Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sony Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
1.79
  0.06 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.14
24.08
0.25 
1,193  
Notes

Sony Group Hype Timeline

Sony Group Corp is at this time traded for 24.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Sony is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Sony Group is about 4669.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.16. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 1358.5. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Sony Group Corp had 5:1 split on the 9th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Sony Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sony Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sony Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sony Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Sony Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sony Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UEICUniversal Electronics 0.14 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.64 (3.82) 9.87 
VZIOVizio Holding Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VOXXVOXX International(0.01)7 per month 2.10  0.05  3.37 (4.56) 22.88 
SSNLFSamsung Electronics Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  0.62 
SHCAFSharp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  7.18 
TCLHFTCL Electronics Holdings 0.00 0 per month 4.40  0.1  11.27 (8.57) 31.89 
LPLLG Display Co(0.01)11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.75 (3.63) 10.87 
SHCAYSharp Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 3.23  0.06  7.69 (5.06) 19.63 
PCRFFPanasonic Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.36  0.13  6.52 (3.77) 14.43 
VUZIVuzix Corp Cmn 0.14 10 per month 7.54  0.25  19.82 (15.74) 53.44 
SONOSonos Inc 0.11 5 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.78 (4.13) 13.73 
GPROGoPro Inc 0.09 8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 6.19 (8.25) 29.04 

Sony Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sony price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sony using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sony charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sony Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sony Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sony Group Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sony Group based on analysis of Sony Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sony Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sony Group's related companies.
 2022 2023 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0058450.0061310.007764
Price To Sales Ratio1.281.240.57

Story Coverage note for Sony Group

The number of cover stories for Sony Group depends on current market conditions and Sony Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sony Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sony Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Sony Group Short Properties

Sony Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sony Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sony Group Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sony Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sony Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 T

Additional Tools for Sony Stock Analysis

When running Sony Group's price analysis, check to measure Sony Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sony Group is operating at the current time. Most of Sony Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sony Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sony Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sony Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.