Real Good Food Stock Price Prediction
| RGF Stock | USD 0.23 0.01 4.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.16) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.48 |
Using Real Good hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Real Good Food from the perspective of Real Good response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Real Good to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Real because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Real Good after-hype prediction price | USD 0.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Real |
Real Good After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Real Good at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Real Good or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Real Good, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Real Good Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Real Good's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Real Good's historical news coverage. Real Good's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.93, respectively. We have considered Real Good's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Real Good is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Real Good Food is based on 3 months time horizon.
Real Good Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Real Good is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Real Good backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Real Good, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 4.72 | 0.02 | 0.22 | 3 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.23 | 0.21 | 8.70 |
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Real Good Hype Timeline
On the 21st of December Real Good Food is traded for 0.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Real is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -8.7%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.75%. The volatility of related hype on Real Good is about 1642.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.45. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Real Good Food recorded a loss per share of 2.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Real Good Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Real Good Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Real Good's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Real Good's future price movements. Getting to know how Real Good's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Real Good may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Real Good Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Real price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Real using various technical indicators. When you analyze Real charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Real Good Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Real Good stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Real Good Food, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Real Good based on analysis of Real Good hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Real Good's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Real Good's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 4.85 | 5.48 | 6.3 | 8.28 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 82.22 | 112.28 | 101.05 | 75.63 |
Story Coverage note for Real Good
The number of cover stories for Real Good depends on current market conditions and Real Good's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Real Good is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Real Good's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Real Good Short Properties
Real Good's future price predictability will typically decrease when Real Good's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Real Good Food often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Real Good's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Real Good's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Real Stock analysis
When running Real Good's price analysis, check to measure Real Good's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Real Good is operating at the current time. Most of Real Good's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Real Good's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Real Good's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Real Good to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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