American Funds 2040 Fund Price Prediction

RFGTX Fund  USD 21.40  0.14  0.66%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of American Funds' mutual fund price is slightly above 60 indicating that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American Funds' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds 2040, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using American Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Funds 2040 from the perspective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Funds to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Funds after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8621.4522.04
Details

American Funds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of American Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Funds' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Funds' historical news coverage. American Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.81 and 21.99, respectively. We have considered American Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.40
21.40
After-hype Price
21.99
Upside
American Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds 2040 is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as American Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.60
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.40
21.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds 2040 is at this time traded for 21.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 7500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.40. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how American Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMECXIncome Fund Of 0.08 1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.66 (0.72) 5.01 
RNEBXNew World Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.00 (1.32) 5.40 
AMFCXAmerican Mutual Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.84 (0.88) 6.86 
AMFFXAmerican Mutual Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.83 (0.86) 6.99 
RNCCXAmerican Funds Income 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.52 (0.52) 2.14 
FPPPXAmerican Funds Preservation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.21 (0.21) 0.75 
AMEFXIncome Fund Of 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.66 (0.73) 5.05 
RNGGXNew Economy Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.35 (1.96) 11.08 
RNGFXNew Economy Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.35 (1.97) 11.00 
RNGHXNew Economy Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.34 (1.97) 11.07 

American Funds Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Funds Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Funds stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Funds 2040, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Funds based on analysis of American Funds hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Funds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Funds's related companies.

Story Coverage note for American Funds

The number of cover stories for American Funds depends on current market conditions and American Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Funds security.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios