Resideo Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| REZI Stock | USD 17.44 0.52 3.07% |
Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.33 | Wall Street Target Price 28.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.555 |
Using Resideo Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Resideo Technologies from the perspective of Resideo Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Resideo Technologies using Resideo Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Resideo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Resideo Technologies' stock price.
Resideo Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Resideo Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Resideo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Resideo Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.3498 | Short Percent 0.033 | Short Ratio 3.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 21.128 |
Resideo Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Resideo Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Resideo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Resideo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Resideo Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Resideo Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Resideo Technologies.
Resideo Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Resideo Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Resideo Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Resideo Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Resideo Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Resideo Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Resideo Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Resideo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Resideo Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 17.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Resideo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Resideo Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Resideo Technologies trading at USD 17.44, that is roughly USD 0.00981 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Resideo Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Resideo Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Resideo |
Resideo Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Resideo Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Resideo Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Resideo Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Resideo Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Resideo Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Resideo Technologies' historical news coverage. Resideo Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.94 and 19.42, respectively. We have considered Resideo Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Resideo Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Resideo Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Resideo Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Resideo Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Resideo Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Resideo Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 2.24 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.44 | 17.18 | 1.49 |
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Resideo Technologies Hype Timeline
Resideo Technologies is at this time traded for 17.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Resideo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.49%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Resideo Technologies is about 4480.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.41. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Resideo Technologies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.08. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Resideo Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Resideo Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Resideo Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Resideo Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Resideo Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Resideo Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALLE | Allegion PLC | (1.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.92 | (3.02) | 7.89 | |
| MSA | MSA Safety | (1.04) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.64 | (2.67) | 4.68 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.13) | 8 per month | 2.78 | 0.04 | 6.24 | (5.94) | 13.99 | |
| BRC | Brady | (0.49) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.42 | (2.77) | 9.18 | |
| BCO | Brinks Company | 2.37 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.39 | (2.85) | 8.34 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | (0.15) | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.12 | 3.15 | (2.02) | 16.34 | |
| CIX | CompX International | 0.36 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.84 | (6.14) | 26.58 |
Resideo Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Resideo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Resideo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Resideo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Resideo Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Resideo Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Resideo Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Resideo Technologies based on analysis of Resideo Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Resideo Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Resideo Technologies's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003209 | 0.002853 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.5 | 0.63 |
Story Coverage note for Resideo Technologies
The number of cover stories for Resideo Technologies depends on current market conditions and Resideo Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Resideo Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Resideo Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Resideo Technologies Short Properties
Resideo Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Resideo Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Resideo Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Resideo Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Resideo Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 692 M |
Complementary Tools for Resideo Stock analysis
When running Resideo Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Resideo Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Resideo Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Resideo Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Resideo Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Resideo Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Resideo Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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