Primoris Services Stock Price Prediction

PRIM Stock  USD 83.17  0.51  0.61%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Primoris Services' share price is above 70 as of now indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Primoris, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Primoris Services' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Primoris Services and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Primoris Services' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Primoris Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Primoris Services' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.202
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.78
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.4861
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.0169
Wall Street Target Price
85
Using Primoris Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primoris Services from the perspective of Primoris Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Primoris Services Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Primoris Services' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primoris. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primoris can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primoris Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primoris Services' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primoris Services.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primoris Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primoris because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Primoris Services after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 85.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Primoris Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Primoris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Primoris Services guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.1263.9691.49
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.6439.1743.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.870.88
Details

Primoris Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Primoris Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primoris Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primoris Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Primoris Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Primoris Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primoris Services' historical news coverage. Primoris Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.29 and 87.97, respectively. We have considered Primoris Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
83.17
85.13
After-hype Price
87.97
Upside
Primoris Services is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primoris Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

Primoris Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primoris Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primoris Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primoris Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.66 
2.84
  1.96 
  0.94 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
83.17
85.13
2.36 
95.62  
Notes

Primoris Services Hype Timeline

Primoris Services is at this time traded for 83.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.94. Primoris is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 85.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 95.62%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.36%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Primoris Services is about 198.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.11. Primoris Services currently holds 1.32 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Primoris Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Primoris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Primoris Services guide.

Primoris Services Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Primoris Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primoris Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Primoris Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primoris Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MYRGMYR Group 2.24 9 per month 1.64  0.21  5.71 (3.02) 17.58 
GVAGranite Construction Incorporated 1.11 11 per month 0.56  0.24  2.88 (1.32) 5.35 
MTRXMatrix Service Co(0.06)9 per month 1.67  0.11  4.54 (2.63) 19.14 
APGApi Group Corp(0.43)11 per month 1.66 (0.01) 3.27 (3.02) 7.65 
EMEEMCOR Group 16.75 9 per month 1.92  0.16  3.31 (2.67) 10.81 
FIXComfort Systems USA(6.87)9 per month 2.94  0.17  5.28 (3.47) 17.05 
ROADConstruction Partners 2.06 10 per month 2.10  0.18  6.10 (3.32) 16.71 
GLDDGreat Lakes Dredge(0.08)10 per month 1.54  0.10  3.82 (2.78) 11.23 
SLNDSouthland Holdings 0.36 3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 8.04 (8.70) 39.26 
TPCTutor Perini(0.77)10 per month 3.06  0.05  7.18 (4.60) 20.69 

Primoris Services Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Primoris price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primoris using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primoris charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Primoris Services Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Primoris Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primoris Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primoris Services based on analysis of Primoris Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primoris Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primoris Services's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01090.0072220.0111
Price To Sales Ratio0.260.310.51

Story Coverage note for Primoris Services

The number of cover stories for Primoris Services depends on current market conditions and Primoris Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primoris Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primoris Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Primoris Services Short Properties

Primoris Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Primoris Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primoris Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primoris Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primoris Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments217.8 M
When determining whether Primoris Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Primoris Services' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Primoris Services' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Primoris Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Primoris Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Primoris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Primoris Services guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primoris Services. If investors know Primoris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Primoris Services listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.202
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
3.03
Revenue Per Share
114.686
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
The market value of Primoris Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Primoris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Primoris Services' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Primoris Services' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Primoris Services' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Primoris Services' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Primoris Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Primoris Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Primoris Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.