Primerica Stock Price Prediction
| PRI Stock | USD 285.37 8.67 3.13% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.155 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.81 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.0011 | EPS Estimate Next Year 23.1111 | Wall Street Target Price 313.5714 |
Using Primerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primerica from the perspective of Primerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primerica using Primerica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primerica's stock price.
Primerica Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Primerica's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Primerica. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Primerica stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 267.438 | Short Percent 0.0187 | Short Ratio 3.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 438.2 K | 50 Day MA 283.898 |
Primerica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Primerica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primerica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primerica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primerica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primerica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primerica.
Primerica Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Primerica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primerica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primerica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primerica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primerica's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primerica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Primerica after-hype prediction price | USD 285.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Primerica contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Primerica will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Primerica trading at USD 285.37, that is roughly USD 0.0606 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Primerica's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Primerica options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Primerica |
Primerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primerica's historical news coverage. Primerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 284.12 and 286.80, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primerica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.34 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
285.37 | 285.46 | 0.03 |
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Primerica Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Primerica is traded for 285.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Primerica is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 285.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 60.36%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Primerica is about 174200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 285.37. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.09 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 470.52 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.2 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Primerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Primerica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Primerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.11 | 2.23 | (2.56) | 6.76 | |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | 0.71 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.09 | 1.90 | (2.31) | 7.00 | |
| PUK | Prudential PLC ADR | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.68 | 0.18 | 3.31 | (3.20) | 9.18 | |
| FG | FG Annuities Life | (0.87) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 3.75 | (4.23) | 12.73 | |
| MET-PA | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.45 | (0.44) | 3.27 | |
| BHFAP | Brighthouse Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.67 | (2.35) | 6.10 | |
| AEL | American Equity Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MET-PE | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.13 | 1.35 | (1.07) | 4.99 | |
| NWLI | National Western Life | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDWT | Midwest Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JXN-PA | Jackson Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.08 | (1.04) | 3.48 | |
| MET-PF | MetLife Preferred Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (1.46) | 4.72 | |
| BHFAO | Brighthouse Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 2.69 | (2.43) | 7.69 |
Primerica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Primerica Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Primerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primerica based on analysis of Primerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primerica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primerica's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0155 | 0.0127 | 0.0122 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.98 | 2.63 | 3.0 |
Story Coverage note for Primerica
The number of cover stories for Primerica depends on current market conditions and Primerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Primerica Short Properties
Primerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Primerica Stock analysis
When running Primerica's price analysis, check to measure Primerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primerica is operating at the current time. Most of Primerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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