Plug Power (Germany) Price Prediction

PLUN Stock   2.44  0.25  11.42%   
The value of RSI of Plug Power's stock price is about 69 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Plug, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Plug Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Plug Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Plug Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Plug Power, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Plug Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plug Power from the perspective of Plug Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Plug Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Plug because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Plug Power after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 2.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Plug Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Plug Stock refer to our How to Trade Plug Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.937.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.178.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.002.322.64
Details

Plug Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Plug Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plug Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plug Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Plug Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Plug Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plug Power's historical news coverage. Plug Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Plug Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.44
2.44
After-hype Price
8.49
Upside
Plug Power is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plug Power is based on 3 months time horizon.

Plug Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plug Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plug Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plug Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.63 
6.05
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.44
2.44
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Plug Power Hype Timeline

Plug Power is at this time traded for 2.44on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Plug is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Plug Power is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.44. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Plug Power was at this time reported as 7.27. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.21. Plug Power had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 20th of May 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Plug Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Plug Stock refer to our How to Trade Plug Stock guide.

Plug Power Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Plug Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plug Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Plug Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plug Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Plug Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Plug price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plug using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plug charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Plug Power Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Plug Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Plug Power, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Plug Power based on analysis of Plug Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Plug Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Plug Power's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Plug Power

The number of cover stories for Plug Power depends on current market conditions and Plug Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plug Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plug Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Plug Power Short Properties

Plug Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plug Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plug Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plug Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plug Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding354.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 B

Complementary Tools for Plug Stock analysis

When running Plug Power's price analysis, check to measure Plug Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plug Power is operating at the current time. Most of Plug Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plug Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plug Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plug Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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