Planet Fitness Stock Price Prediction

PLNT Stock  USD 90.62  0.50  0.55%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Planet Fitness' share price is approaching 45 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Planet Fitness, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Planet Fitness' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Planet Fitness, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Planet Fitness' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.08
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.62
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5088
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.933
Wall Street Target Price
111.7194
Using Planet Fitness hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Planet Fitness from the perspective of Planet Fitness response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Planet Fitness using Planet Fitness' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Planet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Planet Fitness' stock price.

Planet Fitness Short Interest

An investor who is long Planet Fitness may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Planet Fitness and may potentially protect profits, hedge Planet Fitness with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
84.7324
Short Percent
0.0624
Short Ratio
3.12
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
102.7046

Planet Fitness Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Planet Fitness' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Planet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Planet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Planet Fitness. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Planet Fitness' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Planet Fitness.

Planet Fitness Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Planet Fitness' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Planet Fitness stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Planet Fitness' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Planet Fitness stock will not fluctuate a lot when Planet Fitness' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Planet Fitness to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Planet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Planet Fitness after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 90.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Planet contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Planet Fitness will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Planet Fitness trading at USD 90.62, that is roughly USD 0.0261 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Planet Fitness' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Planet Fitness options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Planet Fitness Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Planet Stock please use our How to Invest in Planet Fitness guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.1686.1799.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.1888.1990.20
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
96.88106.46118.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.620.630.65
Details

Planet Fitness After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Planet Fitness at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Planet Fitness or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Planet Fitness, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Planet Fitness Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Planet Fitness' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Planet Fitness' historical news coverage. Planet Fitness' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 88.15 and 92.17, respectively. We have considered Planet Fitness' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
90.62
90.16
After-hype Price
92.17
Upside
Planet Fitness is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Planet Fitness is based on 3 months time horizon.

Planet Fitness Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Planet Fitness is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Planet Fitness backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Planet Fitness, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.99
  0.09 
  0.01 
12 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
90.62
90.16
0.11 
297.01  
Notes

Planet Fitness Hype Timeline

Planet Fitness is at this time traded for 90.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Planet is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 90.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Planet Fitness is about 4887.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.63. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. Planet Fitness last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Planet Fitness Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Planet Stock please use our How to Invest in Planet Fitness guide.

Planet Fitness Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Planet Fitness' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Planet Fitness' future price movements. Getting to know how Planet Fitness' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Planet Fitness may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LTHLife Time Group 0.91 9 per month 1.62  0.21  2.83 (2.52) 9.29 
FXLVF45 Training Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BOWLBowlero Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JAKKJAKKS Pacific(0.12)6 per month 3.11  0.04  3.12 (3.72) 20.77 
FUNSix Flags Entertainment(0.87)8 per month 1.60  0.01  4.52 (2.75) 8.62 
SIXSix Flags Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JOUTJohnson Outdoors(0.79)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.71 (4.30) 13.35 
GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp 0.19 8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.78 (2.20) 12.14 
MATMattel Inc 0.11 7 per month 1.36  0.10  2.58 (2.33) 18.31 
SEASSeaWorld Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MSGEMadison Square Garden 0.16 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.40 (2.36) 10.27 
XPOFXponential Fitness 0.27 7 per month 0.00 (0) 6.76 (6.38) 17.25 
HASHasbro Inc 0.74 10 per month 1.38  0.08  2.93 (2.75) 15.13 
FNKOFunko Inc(0.03)9 per month 1.90  0.14  4.77 (3.05) 11.83 

Planet Fitness Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Planet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Planet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Planet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Planet Fitness Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Planet Fitness stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Planet Fitness, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Planet Fitness based on analysis of Planet Fitness hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Planet Fitness's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Planet Fitness's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield6.98E-42.58E-42.96E-42.81E-4
Price To Sales Ratio7.085.787.165.36

Story Coverage note for Planet Fitness

The number of cover stories for Planet Fitness depends on current market conditions and Planet Fitness' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Planet Fitness is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Planet Fitness' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Planet Fitness Short Properties

Planet Fitness' future price predictability will typically decrease when Planet Fitness' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Planet Fitness often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Planet Fitness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Planet Fitness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments350.7 M

Additional Tools for Planet Stock Analysis

When running Planet Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Planet Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Planet Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Planet Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Planet Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Planet Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Planet Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.