Childrens Place Stock Price Prediction
| PLCE Stock | USD 8.37 1.29 18.22% |
Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Childrens Place hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Childrens Place from the perspective of Childrens Place response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Childrens Place to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Childrens because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Childrens Place after-hype prediction price | USD 8.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Childrens |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Childrens Place's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Childrens Place After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Childrens Place at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Childrens Place or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Childrens Place, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Childrens Place Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Childrens Place's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Childrens Place's historical news coverage. Childrens Place's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.64 and 13.20, respectively. We have considered Childrens Place's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Childrens Place is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Childrens Place is based on 3 months time horizon.
Childrens Place Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Childrens Place is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Childrens Place backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Childrens Place, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 4.78 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.37 | 8.42 | 0.60 |
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Childrens Place Hype Timeline
Childrens Place is at this time traded for 8.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Childrens is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Childrens Place is about 7417.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.35. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (154.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 441.79 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Childrens Place Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Childrens Place Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Childrens Place's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Childrens Place's future price movements. Getting to know how Childrens Place's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Childrens Place may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROST | Ross Stores | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.84 | (2.50) | 5.08 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.14 | (3.03) | 5.86 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.62 | (6.82) | 15.89 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 1.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.01 | (7.45) | 21.79 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.56 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.78 | (4.69) | 13.66 | |
| GPS | GPS Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.60 | (4.80) | 13.42 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (2.31) | 12 per month | 2.66 | 0.04 | 3.57 | (3.81) | 15.80 |
Childrens Place Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Childrens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Childrens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Childrens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Childrens Place Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Childrens Place stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Childrens Place, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Childrens Place based on analysis of Childrens Place hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Childrens Place's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Childrens Place's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Childrens Place
The number of cover stories for Childrens Place depends on current market conditions and Childrens Place's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Childrens Place is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Childrens Place's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Childrens Place Short Properties
Childrens Place's future price predictability will typically decrease when Childrens Place's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Childrens Place often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Childrens Place's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Childrens Place's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Childrens Stock analysis
When running Childrens Place's price analysis, check to measure Childrens Place's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Childrens Place is operating at the current time. Most of Childrens Place's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Childrens Place's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Childrens Place's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Childrens Place to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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