Phx Minerals Stock Price Prediction
| PHX Stock | USD 3.91 0.17 4.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 4.625 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using PHX Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PHX Minerals from the perspective of PHX Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PHX Minerals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PHX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PHX Minerals after-hype prediction price | USD 3.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PHX |
PHX Minerals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PHX Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PHX Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PHX Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
PHX Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PHX Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PHX Minerals' historical news coverage. PHX Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.78 and 5.98, respectively. We have considered PHX Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PHX Minerals is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PHX Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
PHX Minerals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PHX Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PHX Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PHX Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.17 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 12 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.91 | 3.88 | 0.77 |
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PHX Minerals Hype Timeline
On the 26th of December PHX Minerals is traded for 3.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. PHX is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on PHX Minerals is about 1522.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.95. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PHX Minerals last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of October 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out PHX Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PHX Minerals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PHX Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PHX Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how PHX Minerals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PHX Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PVL | Permianville Royalty Trust | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.23 | (4.00) | 8.89 | |
| MTR | Mesa Royalty Trust | (0.05) | 7 per month | 2.06 | 0.01 | 5.28 | (3.93) | 22.38 | |
| SBR | Sabine Royalty Trust | 0.52 | 5 per month | 1.19 | 0.06 | 1.80 | (1.42) | 8.95 | |
| SJT | San Juan Basin | 0.11 | 3 per month | 2.32 | 0.01 | 5.48 | (4.19) | 16.89 |
PHX Minerals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PHX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PHX using various technical indicators. When you analyze PHX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About PHX Minerals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PHX Minerals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PHX Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PHX Minerals based on analysis of PHX Minerals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PHX Minerals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PHX Minerals's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0203 | 0.0304 | 0.0349 | 0.0242 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.08 | 3.24 | 2.92 | 3.14 |
Story Coverage note for PHX Minerals
The number of cover stories for PHX Minerals depends on current market conditions and PHX Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PHX Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PHX Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PHX Minerals Short Properties
PHX Minerals' future price predictability will typically decrease when PHX Minerals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PHX Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PHX Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PHX Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 806.3 K |
Additional Tools for PHX Stock Analysis
When running PHX Minerals' price analysis, check to measure PHX Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PHX Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of PHX Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PHX Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PHX Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PHX Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.