Pennantpark Floating Rate Stock Price Prediction

PFLT Stock  USD 11.16  0.09  0.81%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of PennantPark Floating's share price is approaching 40 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PennantPark Floating, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PennantPark Floating's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PennantPark Floating Rate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PennantPark Floating's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.244
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3175
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2724
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.2548
Wall Street Target Price
11.6667
Using PennantPark Floating hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PennantPark Floating Rate from the perspective of PennantPark Floating response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

PennantPark Floating Rate Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to PennantPark Floating's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PennantPark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PennantPark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PennantPark Floating Rate. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PennantPark Floating's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PennantPark Floating.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PennantPark Floating to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PennantPark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PennantPark Floating after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out PennantPark Floating Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5611.3812.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4211.2412.06
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.4711.5012.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.320.35
Details

PennantPark Floating After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PennantPark Floating at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PennantPark Floating or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PennantPark Floating, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PennantPark Floating Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PennantPark Floating's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PennantPark Floating's historical news coverage. PennantPark Floating's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.34 and 11.98, respectively. We have considered PennantPark Floating's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.16
11.16
After-hype Price
11.98
Upside
PennantPark Floating is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PennantPark Floating Rate is based on 3 months time horizon.

PennantPark Floating Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PennantPark Floating is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PennantPark Floating backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PennantPark Floating, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.82
 0.00  
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.16
11.16
0.00 
1,640  
Notes

PennantPark Floating Hype Timeline

PennantPark Floating Rate is at this time traded for 11.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. PennantPark is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on PennantPark Floating is about 60.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.19. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PennantPark Floating Rate has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out PennantPark Floating Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PennantPark Floating Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PennantPark Floating's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PennantPark Floating's future price movements. Getting to know how PennantPark Floating's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PennantPark Floating may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VVisa Class A 2.60 6 per month 1.05  0.09  2.23 (1.30) 7.73 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment 1.82 10 per month 1.19 (0.04) 2.22 (2.05) 9.06 
DISTDistoken Acquisition 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.37 (0.18) 2.25 
ACAssociated Capital Group(1.85)7 per month 1.65  0.06  3.02 (2.64) 12.11 
BNBrookfield Corp 0.88 8 per month 1.17  0.13  2.45 (1.92) 6.44 
BXBlackstone Group 7.51 8 per month 0.94  0.20  3.21 (2.21) 9.25 
CGCarlyle Group 1.38 7 per month 1.36  0.15  4.10 (2.22) 13.11 
DBDeutsche Bank AG 0.03 9 per month 1.73 (0.03) 3.08 (2.93) 8.64 
DXDynex Capital(0.08)7 per month 1.04 (0.09) 1.38 (1.47) 4.37 

PennantPark Floating Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PennantPark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PennantPark using various technical indicators. When you analyze PennantPark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PennantPark Floating Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PennantPark Floating stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PennantPark Floating Rate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PennantPark Floating based on analysis of PennantPark Floating hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PennantPark Floating's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PennantPark Floating's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.120.119.2E-58.7E-5
Price To Sales Ratio33.943.96.99.55

Story Coverage note for PennantPark Floating

The number of cover stories for PennantPark Floating depends on current market conditions and PennantPark Floating's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PennantPark Floating is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PennantPark Floating's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PennantPark Floating Short Properties

PennantPark Floating's future price predictability will typically decrease when PennantPark Floating's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PennantPark Floating Rate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PennantPark Floating's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PennantPark Floating's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112 M

Additional Tools for PennantPark Stock Analysis

When running PennantPark Floating's price analysis, check to measure PennantPark Floating's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennantPark Floating is operating at the current time. Most of PennantPark Floating's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennantPark Floating's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennantPark Floating's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennantPark Floating to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.