PENINSULA ENERG (Germany) Price Prediction
P1M Stock | EUR 0.68 0.04 6.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PENINSULA ENERG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PENINSULA ENERG from the perspective of PENINSULA ENERG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PENINSULA ENERG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PENINSULA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PENINSULA ENERG after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PENINSULA |
PENINSULA ENERG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PENINSULA ENERG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PENINSULA ENERG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PENINSULA ENERG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
PENINSULA ENERG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PENINSULA ENERG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PENINSULA ENERG's historical news coverage. PENINSULA ENERG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 7.38, respectively. We have considered PENINSULA ENERG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PENINSULA ENERG is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PENINSULA ENERG is based on 3 months time horizon.
PENINSULA ENERG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PENINSULA ENERG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PENINSULA ENERG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PENINSULA ENERG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 6.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.68 | 0.68 | 0.00 |
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PENINSULA ENERG Hype Timeline
PENINSULA ENERG is at this time traded for 0.68on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PENINSULA is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on PENINSULA ENERG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.68. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PENINSULA ENERG had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 20:1 split on the 23rd of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out PENINSULA ENERG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PENINSULA ENERG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PENINSULA ENERG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PENINSULA ENERG's future price movements. Getting to know how PENINSULA ENERG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PENINSULA ENERG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.17 | 2.24 | (1.83) | 9.79 | |
APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.20 | 2.12 | (1.75) | 6.17 | |
APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.20 | 2.29 | (1.61) | 7.12 | |
APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.18 | 2.83 | (1.69) | 8.21 | |
MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.05 | 2.42 | (1.55) | 11.42 | |
MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (1.56) | 9.11 | |
MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.05 | 2.04 | (1.48) | 8.79 |
PENINSULA ENERG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PENINSULA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PENINSULA using various technical indicators. When you analyze PENINSULA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About PENINSULA ENERG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PENINSULA ENERG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PENINSULA ENERG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PENINSULA ENERG based on analysis of PENINSULA ENERG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PENINSULA ENERG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PENINSULA ENERG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for PENINSULA ENERG
The number of cover stories for PENINSULA ENERG depends on current market conditions and PENINSULA ENERG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PENINSULA ENERG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PENINSULA ENERG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PENINSULA ENERG Short Properties
PENINSULA ENERG's future price predictability will typically decrease when PENINSULA ENERG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PENINSULA ENERG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PENINSULA ENERG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PENINSULA ENERG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 997.3 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 3000.00 |
Complementary Tools for PENINSULA Stock analysis
When running PENINSULA ENERG's price analysis, check to measure PENINSULA ENERG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PENINSULA ENERG is operating at the current time. Most of PENINSULA ENERG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PENINSULA ENERG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PENINSULA ENERG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PENINSULA ENERG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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