Nomad Foods Stock Price Prediction
| NOMD Stock | USD 19.51 0.09 0.46% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.141 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3977 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.878 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.017 | Wall Street Target Price 24.9504 |
Using Nomad Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nomad Foods from the perspective of Nomad Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nomad Foods using Nomad Foods' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nomad using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nomad Foods' stock price.
Nomad Foods Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nomad Foods' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nomad. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nomad Foods stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.8507 | Short Percent 0.0193 | Short Ratio 3.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.954 |
Nomad Foods Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nomad Foods' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nomad. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nomad can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nomad Foods. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nomad Foods' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nomad Foods.
Nomad Foods Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Nomad Foods' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nomad Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nomad Foods' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nomad Foods stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nomad Foods' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nomad Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nomad because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nomad Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 19.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nomad contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nomad Foods will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Nomad Foods trading at USD 19.51, that is roughly USD 0.009877 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nomad Foods' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nomad Foods options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nomad |
Nomad Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nomad Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nomad Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nomad Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nomad Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nomad Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nomad Foods' historical news coverage. Nomad Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.85 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered Nomad Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nomad Foods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nomad Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nomad Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nomad Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nomad Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nomad Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.68 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.51 | 19.53 | 0.10 |
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Nomad Foods Hype Timeline
Nomad Foods is now traded for 19.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Nomad is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Nomad Foods is about 380.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.61. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.1 B. Net Income was 227.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 917.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Nomad Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nomad Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nomad Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nomad Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Nomad Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nomad Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LANC | Lancaster Colony | 0.13 | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.07 | 2.81 | (2.73) | 11.71 | |
| THS | Treehouse Foods | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.10 | (3.55) | 13.25 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.46 | (3.18) | 13.65 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | 2.73 | 7 per month | 1.44 | 0.18 | 3.61 | (2.43) | 13.63 | |
| SENEB | Seneca Foods Corp | 1.85 | 3 per month | 1.63 | 0.21 | 7.46 | (4.83) | 18.61 | |
| BRBR | Bellring Brands LLC | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.09 | (4.16) | 10.54 | |
| PPC | Pilgrims Pride Corp | 1.96 | 9 per month | 2.32 | 0.05 | 3.62 | (4.16) | 9.58 | |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | 1.59 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.42 | (2.02) | 6.81 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | (2.31) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.51 | (3.30) | 9.17 | |
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.02 | (4.13) | 14.60 | |
| POST | Post Holdings | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.81 | (2.20) | 8.75 | |
| TWNK | Hostess Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGF | Real Good Food | 0.06 | 3 per month | 20.64 | 0.06 | 19.48 | (59.68) | 585.00 |
Nomad Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nomad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nomad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nomad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nomad Foods Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nomad Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nomad Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nomad Foods based on analysis of Nomad Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nomad Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nomad Foods's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.0 | 1.03 | Dividend Yield | 0.03 | 0.0267 |
Story Coverage note for Nomad Foods
The number of cover stories for Nomad Foods depends on current market conditions and Nomad Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nomad Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nomad Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nomad Foods Short Properties
Nomad Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nomad Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nomad Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nomad Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nomad Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 403 M |
Complementary Tools for Nomad Stock analysis
When running Nomad Foods' price analysis, check to measure Nomad Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nomad Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Nomad Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nomad Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nomad Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nomad Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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