Bandai Namco Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NCBDF Stock | USD 33.58 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 99
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BANDAI NAMCO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BANDAI NAMCO Holdings from the perspective of BANDAI NAMCO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BANDAI NAMCO to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BANDAI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BANDAI NAMCO after-hype prediction price | USD 34.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BANDAI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BANDAI NAMCO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BANDAI NAMCO After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BANDAI NAMCO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BANDAI NAMCO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BANDAI NAMCO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BANDAI NAMCO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BANDAI NAMCO's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BANDAI NAMCO's historical news coverage. BANDAI NAMCO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.07 and 38.43, respectively. We have considered BANDAI NAMCO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BANDAI NAMCO is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BANDAI NAMCO Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
BANDAI NAMCO Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BANDAI NAMCO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BANDAI NAMCO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BANDAI NAMCO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 4.18 | 0.67 | 0.12 | 37 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 37 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.58 | 34.25 | 2.00 |
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BANDAI NAMCO Hype Timeline
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings is now traded for 33.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. BANDAI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 2.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.86%. The volatility of related hype on BANDAI NAMCO is about 3089.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.46. The company reported the revenue of 889.27 B. Net Income was 92.75 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 356.27 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 37 days. Check out BANDAI NAMCO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BANDAI NAMCO Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BANDAI NAMCO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BANDAI NAMCO's future price movements. Getting to know how BANDAI NAMCO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BANDAI NAMCO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
BANDAI NAMCO Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BANDAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BANDAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze BANDAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BANDAI NAMCO Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BANDAI NAMCO stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BANDAI NAMCO Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BANDAI NAMCO based on analysis of BANDAI NAMCO hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BANDAI NAMCO's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BANDAI NAMCO's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BANDAI NAMCO
The number of cover stories for BANDAI NAMCO depends on current market conditions and BANDAI NAMCO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BANDAI NAMCO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BANDAI NAMCO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BANDAI NAMCO Short Properties
BANDAI NAMCO's future price predictability will typically decrease when BANDAI NAMCO's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BANDAI NAMCO Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BANDAI NAMCO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BANDAI NAMCO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 279.4 B |
Complementary Tools for BANDAI Pink Sheet analysis
When running BANDAI NAMCO's price analysis, check to measure BANDAI NAMCO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BANDAI NAMCO is operating at the current time. Most of BANDAI NAMCO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BANDAI NAMCO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BANDAI NAMCO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BANDAI NAMCO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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