Maxlinear Stock Price Prediction
| MXL Stock | USD 15.55 1.30 9.12% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3937 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8848 | Wall Street Target Price 22.45 |
Using MaxLinear hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MaxLinear from the perspective of MaxLinear response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MaxLinear using MaxLinear's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MaxLinear using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MaxLinear's stock price.
MaxLinear Short Interest
An investor who is long MaxLinear may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MaxLinear and may potentially protect profits, hedge MaxLinear with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.0781 | Short Percent 0.086 | Short Ratio 2.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 M | 50 Day MA 19.5418 |
MaxLinear Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MaxLinear's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MaxLinear. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MaxLinear can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MaxLinear. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MaxLinear's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MaxLinear.
MaxLinear Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
MaxLinear's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MaxLinear stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MaxLinear's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MaxLinear stock will not fluctuate a lot when MaxLinear's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MaxLinear to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MaxLinear because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MaxLinear after-hype prediction price | USD 15.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MaxLinear contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MaxLinear will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With MaxLinear trading at USD 15.55, that is roughly USD 0.007678 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MaxLinear's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MaxLinear options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
MaxLinear |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MaxLinear's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MaxLinear After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MaxLinear at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MaxLinear or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MaxLinear, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MaxLinear Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MaxLinear's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MaxLinear's historical news coverage. MaxLinear's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.72 and 20.92, respectively. We have considered MaxLinear's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MaxLinear is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MaxLinear is based on 3 months time horizon.
MaxLinear Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MaxLinear is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MaxLinear backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MaxLinear, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 5.63 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.55 | 15.32 | 0.26 |
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MaxLinear Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February MaxLinear is traded for 15.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. MaxLinear is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on MaxLinear is about 954.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 360.53 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (245.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 194.78 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out MaxLinear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MaxLinear Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MaxLinear's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MaxLinear's future price movements. Getting to know how MaxLinear's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MaxLinear may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
MaxLinear Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MaxLinear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MaxLinear using various technical indicators. When you analyze MaxLinear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MaxLinear Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MaxLinear stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MaxLinear, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MaxLinear based on analysis of MaxLinear hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MaxLinear's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MaxLinear's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.86 | 14.27 | 5.28 | 7.56 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 124.55 | 118.55 | 198.95 | 208.9 |
Story Coverage note for MaxLinear
The number of cover stories for MaxLinear depends on current market conditions and MaxLinear's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MaxLinear is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MaxLinear's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MaxLinear Short Properties
MaxLinear's future price predictability will typically decrease when MaxLinear's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MaxLinear often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MaxLinear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MaxLinear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.6 M |
Check out MaxLinear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy MaxLinear Stock please use our How to buy in MaxLinear Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MaxLinear. If investors know MaxLinear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MaxLinear listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share (2.93) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets |
The market value of MaxLinear is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MaxLinear that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MaxLinear's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MaxLinear's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MaxLinear's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MaxLinear's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MaxLinear's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MaxLinear is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MaxLinear's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.