Lagardere SCA (France) Price Prediction
| MMB Stock | EUR 20.80 0.20 0.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lagardere SCA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lagardere SCA from the perspective of Lagardere SCA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lagardere SCA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lagardere because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lagardere SCA after-hype prediction price | EUR 20.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lagardere |
Lagardere SCA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lagardere SCA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lagardere SCA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lagardere SCA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lagardere SCA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lagardere SCA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lagardere SCA's historical news coverage. Lagardere SCA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.78 and 21.82, respectively. We have considered Lagardere SCA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lagardere SCA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lagardere SCA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lagardere SCA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lagardere SCA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lagardere SCA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lagardere SCA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.80 | 20.80 | 0.00 |
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Lagardere SCA Hype Timeline
Lagardere SCA is now traded for 20.80on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lagardere is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lagardere SCA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.80. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lagardere SCA was now reported as 5.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2023. Lagardere SCA had 42:41 split on the 4th of July 1996. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Lagardere SCA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lagardere SCA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lagardere SCA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lagardere SCA's future price movements. Getting to know how Lagardere SCA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lagardere SCA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFI | Television Francaise 1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.50 | (1.77) | 5.87 | |
| PUB | Publicis Groupe SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.30) | 8.29 | |
| EN | Bouygues SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.29 | (2.05) | 6.84 | |
| AC | Accor S A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.52 | (2.06) | 7.02 | |
| VIV | Vivendi SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.31 | (2.13) | 6.81 |
Lagardere SCA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lagardere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lagardere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lagardere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lagardere SCA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lagardere SCA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lagardere SCA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lagardere SCA based on analysis of Lagardere SCA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lagardere SCA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lagardere SCA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lagardere SCA
The number of cover stories for Lagardere SCA depends on current market conditions and Lagardere SCA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lagardere SCA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lagardere SCA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lagardere SCA Short Properties
Lagardere SCA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lagardere SCA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lagardere SCA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lagardere SCA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lagardere SCA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 937 M |
Complementary Tools for Lagardere Stock analysis
When running Lagardere SCA's price analysis, check to measure Lagardere SCA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lagardere SCA is operating at the current time. Most of Lagardere SCA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lagardere SCA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lagardere SCA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lagardere SCA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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