Midcap Financial Investment Stock Price Prediction
MFICL Stock | 25.56 0.02 0.08% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.859 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Using MidCap Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MidCap Financial Investment from the perspective of MidCap Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MidCap Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MidCap because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MidCap Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 25.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MidCap |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MidCap Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MidCap Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MidCap Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MidCap Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MidCap Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
MidCap Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MidCap Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MidCap Financial's historical news coverage. MidCap Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.22 and 25.90, respectively. We have considered MidCap Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MidCap Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MidCap Financial Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
MidCap Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MidCap Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MidCap Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MidCap Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.56 | 25.56 | 0.00 |
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MidCap Financial Hype Timeline
MidCap Financial Inv is now traded for 25.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. MidCap is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on MidCap Financial is about 185.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.57. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out MidCap Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MidCap Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MidCap Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MidCap Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how MidCap Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MidCap Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
RIG | Transocean | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.52 | (4.09) | 10.57 | |
EGDFF | Energold Drilling Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
PBNAF | Pembina Pipeline | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.06 | 0.00 | 2.28 | |
AIKO | Alternative Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
MJDLF | Major Drilling Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.06 | 3.65 | (2.63) | 9.74 | |
PDS | Precision Drilling | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.31 | (3.25) | 9.33 | |
AMP | Ameriprise Financial | 1.29 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.75 | (1.52) | 6.75 | |
DKDRF | Delek Drilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.16 | 2.89 | (1.62) | 10.84 |
MidCap Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MidCap price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MidCap using various technical indicators. When you analyze MidCap charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About MidCap Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MidCap Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MidCap Financial Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MidCap Financial based on analysis of MidCap Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MidCap Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MidCap Financial's related companies. 2022 | 2023 (projected) | |
PTB Ratio | 0.75 | 0.89 |
Dividend Yield | 0.0906 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for MidCap Financial
The number of cover stories for MidCap Financial depends on current market conditions and MidCap Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MidCap Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MidCap Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out MidCap Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MidCap Financial. If investors know MidCap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MidCap Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of MidCap Financial Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MidCap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MidCap Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MidCap Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MidCap Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MidCap Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MidCap Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MidCap Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MidCap Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.