MFF Capital (Australia) Price Prediction
| MFF Stock | 4.31 0.03 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.002 | Wall Street Target Price 1.44 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using MFF Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFF Capital Investments from the perspective of MFF Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MFF Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MFF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MFF Capital after-hype prediction price | AUD 4.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MFF |
MFF Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MFF Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MFF Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MFF Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MFF Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MFF Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MFF Capital's historical news coverage. MFF Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.29 and 5.31, respectively. We have considered MFF Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MFF Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFF Capital Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.
MFF Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MFF Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MFF Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MFF Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.31 | 4.30 | 0.23 |
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MFF Capital Hype Timeline
MFF Capital Investments is now traded for 4.31on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. MFF is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on MFF Capital is about 16160.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.31. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MFF Capital Investments last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out MFF Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MFF Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MFF Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MFF Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how MFF Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MFF Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GOR | Gold Road Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 2.14 | 0.04 | 3.66 | (2.84) | 12.05 | |
| 29M | 29Metals | (0.01) | 1 per month | 4.54 | (0.01) | 6.12 | (5.56) | 38.10 | |
| LHM | Land Homes Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TWE | Treasury Wine Estates | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.46 | (0.08) | 3.00 | (2.41) | 12.32 | |
| ABB | Aussie Broadband | 0.02 | 3 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 3.49 | (3.19) | 9.30 | |
| CQR | Charter Hall Retail | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.49 | (1.92) | 4.51 | |
| DBF | Duxton Broadacre Farms | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.70 | (3.55) | 12.95 | |
| AML | Aeon Metals | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
MFF Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MFF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFF using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MFF Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MFF Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MFF Capital Investments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MFF Capital based on analysis of MFF Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MFF Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MFF Capital's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MFF Capital
The number of cover stories for MFF Capital depends on current market conditions and MFF Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFF Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFF Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MFF Capital Short Properties
MFF Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFF Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFF Capital Investments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFF Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFF Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 578.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 46 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.14 | |
| Shares Float | 444.8 M |
Additional Tools for MFF Stock Analysis
When running MFF Capital's price analysis, check to measure MFF Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFF Capital is operating at the current time. Most of MFF Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFF Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFF Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFF Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.