Lucara Diamond Corp Stock Price Prediction

LUCRF Stock  USD 0.30  0.02  6.25%   
As of 29th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lucara Diamond's share price is at 53. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lucara Diamond, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lucara Diamond's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lucara Diamond and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lucara Diamond's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lucara Diamond Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lucara Diamond hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lucara Diamond Corp from the perspective of Lucara Diamond response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lucara Diamond to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lucara because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lucara Diamond after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lucara Diamond Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.273.96
Details

Lucara Diamond After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lucara Diamond at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lucara Diamond or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lucara Diamond, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lucara Diamond Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lucara Diamond's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lucara Diamond's historical news coverage. Lucara Diamond's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 3.99, respectively. We have considered Lucara Diamond's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.30
0.30
After-hype Price
3.99
Upside
Lucara Diamond is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lucara Diamond Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lucara Diamond Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lucara Diamond is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lucara Diamond backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lucara Diamond, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
3.69
  0.02 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.30
0.30
0.00 
1,942  
Notes

Lucara Diamond Hype Timeline

Lucara Diamond Corp is now traded for 0.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lucara is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lucara Diamond is about 7175.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.31. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lucara Diamond Corp last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Lucara Diamond Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lucara Diamond Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lucara Diamond's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lucara Diamond's future price movements. Getting to know how Lucara Diamond's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lucara Diamond may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
THMGThunder Mountain Gold 0.00 0 per month 10.95  0.17  26.67 (26.67) 72.28 
TPRFFGCM Mining Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.96 (4.25) 15.71 
GATOGatos Silver 0.91 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.67 (5.14) 22.78 
TFPMTriple Flag Precious(0.19)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.35 (3.17) 11.01 
LBCMFLibero Copper Gold 0.00 0 per month 5.16  0.03  11.11 (9.09) 33.33 
CFTNClifton Mining Co 0.00 0 per month 5.56  0  16.67 (16.67) 68.57 
SSVRFSumma Silver Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 6.67 (7.69) 16.78 
GLGDFGoGold Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.85 (5.62) 19.37 
ELRFFEastern Platinum Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.00 (9.09) 32.05 
CLGDFCaldas Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.24  49,900 (99.67) 66,666 
DNRSFDenarius Silver Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.64  0.01  11.90 (10.00) 38.41 
SSVFFSouthern Silver Exploration 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 9.52 (10.53) 32.08 
AGLDFAustral Gold Limited 0.00 0 per month 15.05  0.1  38.62 (39.21) 165.63 
CLRMFClean Air Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 9.09 (13.16) 28.91 

Lucara Diamond Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lucara price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lucara using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lucara charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lucara Diamond Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lucara Diamond stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lucara Diamond Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lucara Diamond based on analysis of Lucara Diamond hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lucara Diamond's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lucara Diamond's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lucara Diamond

The number of cover stories for Lucara Diamond depends on current market conditions and Lucara Diamond's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lucara Diamond is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lucara Diamond's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lucara Diamond Short Properties

Lucara Diamond's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lucara Diamond's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lucara Diamond Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lucara Diamond's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucara Diamond's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding453 M

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When running Lucara Diamond's price analysis, check to measure Lucara Diamond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucara Diamond is operating at the current time. Most of Lucara Diamond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucara Diamond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucara Diamond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucara Diamond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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