LATAM Airlines (Chile) Price Prediction
| LTM Stock | CLP 13.54 0.04 0.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Using LATAM Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LATAM Airlines Group from the perspective of LATAM Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LATAM Airlines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LATAM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LATAM Airlines after-hype prediction price | CLP 13.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LATAM |
LATAM Airlines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LATAM Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LATAM Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LATAM Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LATAM Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LATAM Airlines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LATAM Airlines' historical news coverage. LATAM Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.01 and 15.07, respectively. We have considered LATAM Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LATAM Airlines is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LATAM Airlines Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
LATAM Airlines Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LATAM Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LATAM Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LATAM Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.54 | 13.54 | 0.00 |
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LATAM Airlines Hype Timeline
LATAM Airlines Group is now traded for 13.54on Chilean Stock Exchange of Chile. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LATAM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on LATAM Airlines is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.54. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 724.55. LATAM Airlines Group last dividend was issued on the 25th of May 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LATAM Airlines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LATAM Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LATAM Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how LATAM Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LATAM Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FALABELLA | Falabella | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.02) | 3.10 | (2.04) | 5.58 | |
| CENCOSUD | Cencosud | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.04 | 2.48 | (1.99) | 7.08 | |
| SQM-B | Sociedad Qumica y | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.02 | 3.95 | (3.49) | 13.90 | |
| COPEC | Empresas Copec SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.11) | 5.96 |
LATAM Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LATAM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LATAM using various technical indicators. When you analyze LATAM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About LATAM Airlines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LATAM Airlines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LATAM Airlines Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LATAM Airlines based on analysis of LATAM Airlines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LATAM Airlines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LATAM Airlines's related companies.
Story Coverage note for LATAM Airlines
The number of cover stories for LATAM Airlines depends on current market conditions and LATAM Airlines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LATAM Airlines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LATAM Airlines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LATAM Airlines Short Properties
LATAM Airlines' future price predictability will typically decrease when LATAM Airlines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LATAM Airlines Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LATAM Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LATAM Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 606.4 M |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LATAM Stock
When determining whether LATAM Airlines Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze LATAM Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LATAM Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LATAM Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.