First Media (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| KBLV Stock | IDR 97.00 1.00 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Media Tbk from the perspective of First Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Media after-hype prediction price | IDR 97.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Media's historical news coverage. First Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.04 and 99.96, respectively. We have considered First Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Media is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Media Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.11 | 2.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
97.00 | 97.00 | 0.00 |
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First Media Hype Timeline
First Media Tbk is now traded for 97.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Media is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.00. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. First Media Tbk recorded a loss per share of 815.24. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out First Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Media's future price movements. Getting to know how First Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISAT | Indosat Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.12 | (5.74) | 79.95 | |
| EXCL | XL Axiata Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.83 | (1.76) | 9.26 | |
| ENRG | Energi Mega Persada | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.05 | 6.80 | (5.92) | 27.15 | |
| BNBR | Bakrie Brothers Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.93 | 0.10 | 9.52 | (8.33) | 19.09 | |
| MEDC | Medco Energi Internasional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.05 | (3.85) | 13.69 |
First Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Media Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Media based on analysis of First Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Media's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Media
The number of cover stories for First Media depends on current market conditions and First Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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First Media Short Properties
First Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Media Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.8 B |
Other Information on Investing in First Stock
First Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Media security.