Federated Kaufmann Fund Price Prediction
| KAUCX Fund | USD 3.81 0.02 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
23
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Federated Kaufmann hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federated Kaufmann Fund from the perspective of Federated Kaufmann response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federated Kaufmann to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federated Kaufmann after-hype prediction price | USD 4.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federated |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Kaufmann's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federated Kaufmann After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federated Kaufmann at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federated Kaufmann or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Federated Kaufmann, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federated Kaufmann Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federated Kaufmann's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federated Kaufmann's historical news coverage. Federated Kaufmann's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.28 and 6.56, respectively. We have considered Federated Kaufmann's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federated Kaufmann is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federated Kaufmann is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federated Kaufmann Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Federated Kaufmann is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federated Kaufmann backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federated Kaufmann, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.15 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.81 | 4.42 | 16.01 |
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Federated Kaufmann Hype Timeline
Federated Kaufmann is now traded for 3.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Federated is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 56.28%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 16.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Federated Kaufmann is about 43000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.81. Debt can assist Federated Kaufmann until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Federated Kaufmann's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Federated Kaufmann sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Federated to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Federated Kaufmann's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Federated Kaufmann Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federated Kaufmann Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federated Kaufmann's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federated Kaufmann's future price movements. Getting to know how Federated Kaufmann's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federated Kaufmann may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMDIX | Federated Emerging Market | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.26 | (0.38) | 1.66 | |
| QKACX | Federated Mdt All | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.22 | (1.24) | 10.29 | |
| QKBGX | Federated Mdt Balanced | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.85 | (0.98) | 9.77 | |
| SBFIX | Federated Global Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.63 | (0.68) | 3.03 | |
| FRIEX | Federated Hermes Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.70 | (1.41) | 4.82 | |
| STFSX | Federated Strategic Income | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.24 | (0.48) | 1.22 | |
| STIAX | Federated Strategic Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.24 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
| STILX | Federated Strategic Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.24 | (0.36) | 1.45 | |
| STISX | Federated Strategic Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.24 | (0.37) | 1.34 | |
| FRSAX | Federated Floating Rate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.12 | (0.12) | 0.70 |
Federated Kaufmann Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federated Kaufmann Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federated Kaufmann stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federated Kaufmann Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federated Kaufmann based on analysis of Federated Kaufmann hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federated Kaufmann's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federated Kaufmann's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Federated Kaufmann
The number of cover stories for Federated Kaufmann depends on current market conditions and Federated Kaufmann's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federated Kaufmann is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federated Kaufmann's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Kaufmann financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Kaufmann security.
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