Johnson Johnson Stock Price Prediction
| JNJ Stock | USD 166.09 2.35 1.44% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6441 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.5709 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.1425 | Wall Street Target Price 168.64 |
Using Johnson Johnson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Johnson Johnson from the perspective of Johnson Johnson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Johnson Johnson using Johnson Johnson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Johnson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Johnson Johnson's stock price.
Johnson Johnson Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Johnson Johnson's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Johnson. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Johnson Johnson stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 154.3248 | Short Percent 0.0078 | Short Ratio 1.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.5 M | 50 Day MA 148.9882 |
Johnson Johnson Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Johnson Johnson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Johnson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Johnson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Johnson Johnson. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Johnson Johnson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Johnson Johnson.
Johnson Johnson Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
Johnson Johnson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Johnson Johnson stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Johnson Johnson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Johnson Johnson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Johnson Johnson's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Johnson Johnson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Johnson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Johnson Johnson after-hype prediction price | USD 165.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Johnson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Johnson Johnson will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Johnson Johnson trading at USD 166.09, that is roughly USD 0.028 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Johnson Johnson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Johnson Johnson options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Johnson |
Johnson Johnson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Johnson Johnson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Johnson Johnson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Johnson Johnson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Johnson Johnson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Johnson Johnson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Johnson Johnson's historical news coverage. Johnson Johnson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 164.81 and 167.17, respectively. We have considered Johnson Johnson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Johnson Johnson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Johnson Johnson is based on 3 months time horizon.
Johnson Johnson Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Johnson Johnson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Johnson Johnson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Johnson Johnson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
166.09 | 165.99 | 0.05 |
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Johnson Johnson Hype Timeline
On the 25th of February Johnson Johnson is traded for 166.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Johnson is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 165.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 138.82%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Johnson Johnson is about 83.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 166.27. The company reported the last year's revenue of 88.82 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 14.07 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 61.38 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Johnson Johnson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Johnson Johnson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Johnson Johnson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Johnson Johnson's future price movements. Getting to know how Johnson Johnson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Johnson Johnson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRK | Merck Company | 2.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.43 | (1.81) | 11.57 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | 0.71 | 6 per month | 1.63 | 0.04 | 2.51 | (2.80) | 7.43 | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc | 1.04 | 6 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 2.73 | (1.69) | 9.76 | |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | (0.05) | 6 per month | 1.08 | 0.10 | 2.20 | (2.04) | 7.04 | |
| ABBV | AbbVie Inc | 4.25 | 8 per month | 0.70 | 0.25 | 3.04 | (1.47) | 5.93 | |
| LLY | Eli Lilly and | 0.78 | 5 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 3.25 | (2.80) | 11.14 | |
| GILD | Gilead Sciences | 1.00 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.18 | 2.28 | (2.04) | 9.23 |
Johnson Johnson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Johnson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johnson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johnson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Johnson Johnson Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Johnson Johnson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Johnson Johnson, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johnson Johnson based on analysis of Johnson Johnson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Johnson Johnson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Johnson Johnson's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0253 | 0.0296 | 0.0267 | 0.0179 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.77 | 4.66 | 4.2 | 2.87 |
Story Coverage note for Johnson Johnson
The number of cover stories for Johnson Johnson depends on current market conditions and Johnson Johnson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Johnson Johnson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Johnson Johnson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Johnson Johnson Short Properties
Johnson Johnson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Johnson Johnson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Johnson Johnson often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Johnson Johnson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Johnson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B |
Check out Johnson Johnson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Johnson Stock please use our How to buy in Johnson Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Johnson. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Johnson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.91 | Earnings Share 5.79 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
The market value of Johnson Johnson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Johnson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Johnson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Johnson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Johnson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Johnson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Johnson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Johnson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.