Ies Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| IESC Stock | USD 181.89 2.60 1.45% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.296 | Wall Street Target Price 6.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.315 |
Using IES Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IES Holdings from the perspective of IES Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IES Holdings using IES Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IES using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IES Holdings' stock price.
IES Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in IES Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards IES. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of IES Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 158.4522 | Short Percent 0.0792 | Short Ratio 6.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 573.5 K | 50 Day MA 219.7446 |
IES Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IES Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IES. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IES can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IES Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IES Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IES Holdings.
IES Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
IES Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IES Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IES Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IES Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when IES Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IES Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IES because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IES Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 179.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IES contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IES Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With IES Holdings trading at USD 181.89, that is roughly USD 0.0898 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IES Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring IES Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
IES |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IES Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IES Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IES Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IES Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IES Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IES Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IES Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IES Holdings' historical news coverage. IES Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 174.23 and 185.29, respectively. We have considered IES Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IES Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IES Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
IES Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IES Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IES Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IES Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 5.53 | 2.13 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
181.89 | 179.76 | 1.17 |
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IES Holdings Hype Timeline
IES Holdings is currently traded for 181.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. IES is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 179.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 44.2%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on IES Holdings is about 2234.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 181.85. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.91. IES Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1000:17092 split on the 15th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out IES Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IES Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IES Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IES Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how IES Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IES Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
IES Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IES using various technical indicators. When you analyze IES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IES Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IES Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IES Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IES Holdings based on analysis of IES Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IES Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IES Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003182 | 0.002829 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.0 | 11.55 |
Story Coverage note for IES Holdings
The number of cover stories for IES Holdings depends on current market conditions and IES Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IES Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IES Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IES Holdings Short Properties
IES Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when IES Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IES Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IES Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IES Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.8 M |
Complementary Tools for IES Stock analysis
When running IES Holdings' price analysis, check to measure IES Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IES Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of IES Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IES Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IES Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IES Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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