Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Prediction
| IDN Stock | USD 2.83 0.05 1.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.622 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 3.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using Intellicheck Mobilisa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intellicheck Mobilisa from the perspective of Intellicheck Mobilisa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intellicheck Mobilisa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intellicheck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intellicheck Mobilisa after-hype prediction price | USD 2.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intellicheck |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intellicheck Mobilisa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intellicheck Mobilisa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intellicheck Mobilisa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intellicheck Mobilisa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical news coverage. Intellicheck Mobilisa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 6.74, respectively. We have considered Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intellicheck Mobilisa is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intellicheck Mobilisa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intellicheck Mobilisa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intellicheck Mobilisa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intellicheck Mobilisa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 3.91 | 0.00 | 1.67 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.83 | 2.83 | 0.00 |
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Timeline
On the 29th of December Intellicheck Mobilisa is traded for 2.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.67. Intellicheck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intellicheck Mobilisa is about 114.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.50. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intellicheck Mobilisa was currently reported as 0.89. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Intellicheck Mobilisa had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 13th of August 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intellicheck Mobilisa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. Getting to know how Intellicheck Mobilisa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intellicheck Mobilisa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QUBT | Quantum Computing | 2.60 | 6 per month | 9.44 | 0.32 | 52.95 | (16.01) | 133.80 | |
| IONQ | IONQ Inc | (4.15) | 8 per month | 5.65 | 0.34 | 17.64 | (10.91) | 48.87 | |
| QMCO | Quantum | 13.00 | 7 per month | 9.97 | 0.25 | 49.98 | (20.85) | 193.01 | |
| ANET | Arista Networks | 4.99 | 9 per month | 2.14 | 0.1 | 3.70 | (3.07) | 11.54 | |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | 0.58 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 15.87 | (11.97) | 48.46 |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intellicheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intellicheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intellicheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Intellicheck Mobilisa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intellicheck Mobilisa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intellicheck Mobilisa based on analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intellicheck Mobilisa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intellicheck Mobilisa's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00201 | 0.001758 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.93 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Intellicheck Mobilisa
The number of cover stories for Intellicheck Mobilisa depends on current market conditions and Intellicheck Mobilisa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intellicheck Mobilisa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intellicheck Mobilisa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Short Properties
Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intellicheck Mobilisa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intellicheck Mobilisa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intellicheck Mobilisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellicheck Mobilisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 M |
Check out Intellicheck Mobilisa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellicheck Mobilisa. If investors know Intellicheck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intellicheck Mobilisa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.622 | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 0.997 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Intellicheck Mobilisa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intellicheck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intellicheck Mobilisa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intellicheck Mobilisa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intellicheck Mobilisa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intellicheck Mobilisa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellicheck Mobilisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellicheck Mobilisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intellicheck Mobilisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.