Generac Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| GNRC Stock | USD 130.41 2.67 2.09% |
Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.369 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5183 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.7984 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.8804 | Wall Street Target Price 170.7674 |
Using Generac Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Generac Holdings from the perspective of Generac Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Generac Holdings using Generac Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Generac using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Generac Holdings' stock price.
Generac Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Generac Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Generac. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Generac Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 154.6025 | Short Percent 0.0568 | Short Ratio 3.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 146.1534 |
Generac Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Generac Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Generac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Generac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Generac Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Generac Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Generac Holdings.
Generac Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Generac Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Generac Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Generac Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Generac Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Generac Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Generac Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Generac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Generac Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 129.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Generac contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Generac Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Generac Holdings trading at USD 130.41, that is roughly USD 0.0326 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Generac Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Generac Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Generac |
Generac Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Generac Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Generac Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Generac Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Generac Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Generac Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Generac Holdings' historical news coverage. Generac Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.93 and 132.01, respectively. We have considered Generac Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Generac Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Generac Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Generac Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Generac Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Generac Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Generac Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.04 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
130.41 | 129.97 | 0.34 |
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Generac Holdings Hype Timeline
Generac Holdings is currently traded for 130.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.49. Generac is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 129.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 178.95%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Generac Holdings is about 161.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.90. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Generac Holdings was currently reported as 41.84. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Generac Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2013. The firm had 1:3 split on the 10th of February 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Generac Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Generac Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Generac Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Generac Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Generac Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Generac Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 1.10 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.13 | (2.68) | 9.68 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | 1.73 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.41 | (3.54) | 19.37 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 11.38 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.27 | (3.50) | 10.15 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (3.79) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.95 | (2.48) | 8.34 | |
| DOV | Dover | 1.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.96 | (2.85) | 8.86 | |
| CR | Crane Company | 1.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.75 | (3.43) | 16.18 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | (1.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.47 | (4.18) | 10.01 | |
| HI | Hillenbrand | 0.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.05 | (5.05) | 14.21 | |
| MIDD | Middleby Corp | 1.03 | 12 per month | 1.37 | 0.09 | 1.89 | (2.30) | 19.44 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 2.80 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.95 | (2.43) | 12.03 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 1.16 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.72 | (2.61) | 6.53 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | (0.72) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.34 | (2.57) | 10.46 | |
| CMI | Cummins | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.83 | (3.32) | 9.77 |
Generac Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Generac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Generac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Generac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Generac Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Generac Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Generac Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Generac Holdings based on analysis of Generac Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Generac Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Generac Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 3.0E-5 | 3.4E-5 | 3.2E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.97 | 2.15 | 1.63 |
Story Coverage note for Generac Holdings
The number of cover stories for Generac Holdings depends on current market conditions and Generac Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Generac Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Generac Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Generac Holdings Short Properties
Generac Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Generac Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Generac Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Generac Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Generac Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Generac Stock analysis
When running Generac Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Generac Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Generac Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Generac Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Generac Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Generac Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Generac Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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