GEO (Germany) Price Prediction
| GEG Stock | EUR 25.58 0.35 1.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
79
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GEO hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The GEO Group from the perspective of GEO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GEO to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GEO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GEO after-hype prediction price | EUR 25.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GEO |
GEO After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GEO at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEO or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GEO, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GEO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GEO's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEO's historical news coverage. GEO's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.30 and 31.86, respectively. We have considered GEO's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GEO is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEO Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
GEO Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEO is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEO backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEO, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.36 | 6.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.58 | 25.58 | 0.00 |
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GEO Hype Timeline
GEO Group is currently traded for 25.58on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GEO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on GEO is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.58. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GEO Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2021. The firm had 3:2 split on the 25th of April 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out GEO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GEO Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GEO's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEO's future price movements. Getting to know how GEO's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEO may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HCW | Welltower | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (2.12) | 6.96 | |
| M3P | Medical Properties Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.07 | 0 | 7.51 | (6.74) | 27.23 | |
| SBC | Sabra Health Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.07 | 3.45 | (3.09) | 8.26 | |
| WX6 | National Health Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | (0.05) | 2.76 | (2.01) | 6.35 | |
| 3P51 | PARKWAY LIFE REAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | (0.03) | 4.00 | (4.01) | 11.62 |
GEO Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GEO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEO using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GEO Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GEO stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The GEO Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GEO based on analysis of GEO hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GEO's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GEO's related companies.
Story Coverage note for GEO
The number of cover stories for GEO depends on current market conditions and GEO's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEO is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEO's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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GEO Short Properties
GEO's future price predictability will typically decrease when GEO's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The GEO Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GEO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.2 M |
Complementary Tools for GEO Stock analysis
When running GEO's price analysis, check to measure GEO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GEO is operating at the current time. Most of GEO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GEO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GEO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GEO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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