Fortescue (Australia) Price Prediction
| FMG Stock | 19.43 0.39 2.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.29 | Wall Street Target Price 12.2004 |
Using Fortescue hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortescue from the perspective of Fortescue response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fortescue to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fortescue because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fortescue after-hype prediction price | AUD 19.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fortescue |
Fortescue After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fortescue at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fortescue or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fortescue, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fortescue Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fortescue's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fortescue's historical news coverage. Fortescue's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.23 and 21.65, respectively. We have considered Fortescue's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fortescue is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fortescue is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fortescue Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fortescue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortescue backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fortescue, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.21 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.43 | 19.44 | 0.05 |
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Fortescue Hype Timeline
Fortescue is currently traded for 19.43on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Fortescue is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Fortescue is about 51566.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.43. The company reported the revenue of 18.11 B. Net Income was 5.68 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.05 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Fortescue Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fortescue Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fortescue's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fortescue's future price movements. Getting to know how Fortescue's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fortescue may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEM | G8 Education | (0.05) | 1 per month | 1.39 | (0.03) | 2.31 | (2.27) | 6.73 | |
| KME | Kip McGrath Education | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.10 | 0.03 | 4.55 | (4.65) | 15.00 | |
| SRH | Saferoads Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SUL | Super Retail Group | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.30 | (3.43) | 8.76 | |
| DY6 | DY6 Metals | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.09 | (8.93) | 26.03 | |
| TWE | Treasury Wine Estates | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.04) | 3.00 | (2.41) | 12.32 | |
| SLB | Stelar Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.88 | (6.90) | 34.87 |
Fortescue Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fortescue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortescue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortescue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fortescue Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fortescue stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fortescue, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fortescue based on analysis of Fortescue hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fortescue's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fortescue's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fortescue
The number of cover stories for Fortescue depends on current market conditions and Fortescue's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortescue is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortescue's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Fortescue Short Properties
Fortescue's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fortescue's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fortescue often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fortescue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortescue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 B |
Additional Tools for Fortescue Stock Analysis
When running Fortescue's price analysis, check to measure Fortescue's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortescue is operating at the current time. Most of Fortescue's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortescue's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortescue's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortescue to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.