Fluor Stock Price Prediction

FLR Stock  USD 55.25  0.68  1.22%   
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Fluor's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fluor, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fluor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fluor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fluor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fluor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fluor's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.8
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.613
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.9712
Wall Street Target Price
56.95
Using Fluor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fluor from the perspective of Fluor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Fluor Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fluor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fluor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fluor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fluor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fluor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fluor.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fluor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fluor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fluor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fluor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Fluor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fluor guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.8147.7060.78
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.2242.0046.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.640.650.67
Details

Fluor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fluor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fluor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fluor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fluor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fluor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fluor's historical news coverage. Fluor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.56 and 58.34, respectively. We have considered Fluor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.25
55.45
After-hype Price
58.34
Upside
Fluor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fluor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fluor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fluor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fluor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fluor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.89
  0.20 
  0.38 
12 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.25
55.45
0.36 
283.33  
Notes

Fluor Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Fluor is traded for 55.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. Fluor is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 55.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Fluor is about 153.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.63. The company reported the last year's revenue of 15.47 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 79 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 355 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Fluor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Fluor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fluor guide.

Fluor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fluor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fluor's future price movements. Getting to know how Fluor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fluor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACMAecom Technology 2.78 7 per month 1.23  0.09  2.82 (1.75) 8.55 
MTRXMatrix Service Co(0.06)8 per month 1.67  0.11  4.54 (2.63) 19.14 
MYRGMYR Group 2.24 9 per month 1.64  0.21  5.71 (3.02) 17.58 
EMEEMCOR Group 16.75 9 per month 1.92  0.16  3.31 (2.67) 10.81 
JJacobs Solutions(2.92)8 per month 1.63  0.05  2.41 (1.97) 9.97 
KBRKBR Inc(0.45)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.54 (3.09) 16.92 
TTEKTetra Tech(0.48)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.80 (2.30) 17.66 
BLDTopbuild Corp(2.95)12 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.30 (4.45) 10.81 
PWRQuanta Services 5.10 8 per month 1.35  0.14  3.23 (1.75) 9.70 
ROADConstruction Partners 2.06 10 per month 2.10  0.18  6.10 (3.32) 16.71 
PRIMPrimoris Services 2.97 11 per month 1.73  0.19  4.15 (1.78) 17.09 
GLDDGreat Lakes Dredge(0.08)10 per month 1.54  0.10  3.82 (2.78) 11.23 
GVAGranite Construction Incorporated 1.11 11 per month 0.56  0.24  2.88 (1.32) 5.35 
SLNDSouthland Holdings 0.36 3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 8.04 (8.70) 39.26 

Fluor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fluor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fluor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fluor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fluor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fluor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fluor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fluor based on analysis of Fluor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fluor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fluor's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
PTB Ratio2.512.763.03
Dividend Yield0.005440.0079240.004936

Story Coverage note for Fluor

The number of cover stories for Fluor depends on current market conditions and Fluor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fluor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fluor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fluor Short Properties

Fluor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fluor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fluor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fluor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fluor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Additional Tools for Fluor Stock Analysis

When running Fluor's price analysis, check to measure Fluor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fluor is operating at the current time. Most of Fluor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fluor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fluor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fluor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.