Franklin New York Fund Price Prediction

FKNIX Fund  USD 10.70  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin New's mutual fund price is slightly above 65. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin New York, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Franklin New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin New York from the perspective of Franklin New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin New to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin New after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Franklin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2810.5010.72
Details

Franklin New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Franklin New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin New's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin New's historical news coverage. Franklin New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.48 and 10.92, respectively. We have considered Franklin New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.70
10.70
After-hype Price
10.92
Upside
Franklin New is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin New York is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin New Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Franklin New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.22
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.70
10.70
0.00 
2,200  
Notes

Franklin New Hype Timeline

Franklin New York is currently traded for 10.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin New is about 785.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.70. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Franklin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin New's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TEBIXFranklin Mutual Beacon 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.83 (1.05) 6.52 
TEDMXTempleton Developing Markets(0.41)1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.49 (1.68) 6.20 
TEDIXFranklin Mutual Global 0.14 1 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.85 (1.05) 10.42 
TEDSXFranklin Mutual Global 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.82 (1.35) 9.48 
TEDRXFranklin Mutual Global(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.84 (1.08) 10.33 
TEFRXTempleton Foreign Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.27 (2.02) 5.69 
TEFTXTempleton Foreign Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.37 (1.97) 5.54 
TEGBXTempleton Global Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42) 0.67 (1.01) 3.22 
TEGRXTempleton Growth Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.99 (0.94) 4.35 
TEMFXTempleton Foreign Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.36 (2.06) 5.66 

Franklin New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin New York, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin New based on analysis of Franklin New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Franklin New

The number of cover stories for Franklin New depends on current market conditions and Franklin New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin New security.
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