Federated Government Income Fund Price Prediction
| FITSX Fund | USD 8.77 0.03 0.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Federated Government hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federated Government Income from the perspective of Federated Government response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federated Government to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federated Government after-hype prediction price | USD 8.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federated |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federated Government After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federated Government at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federated Government or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Federated Government, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federated Government Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federated Government's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federated Government's historical news coverage. Federated Government's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.44 and 9.10, respectively. We have considered Federated Government's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federated Government is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federated Government is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federated Government Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Federated Government is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federated Government backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federated Government, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.77 | 8.77 | 0.00 |
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Federated Government Hype Timeline
Federated Government is currently traded for 8.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Federated is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Federated Government is about 83.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.75. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Federated Government Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federated Government Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federated Government's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federated Government's future price movements. Getting to know how Federated Government's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federated Government may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAAFX | Lord Abbett Affiliated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.08 | (0.76) | 7.00 | |
| VAAGX | Virtus Nfj Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.06 | (0.94) | 5.43 | |
| LMUSX | Qs Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.02 | 1.10 | (1.49) | 6.37 | |
| LMISX | Qs Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 1.08 | (1.49) | 6.65 | |
| AMONX | Aqr Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.25 | (1.84) | 15.94 | |
| FIOOX | Fidelity Series 1000 | (0.44) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.14 | (0.76) | 5.89 | |
| DOXGX | Dodge Cox Stock | (2.32) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.94 | (0.93) | 10.51 |
Federated Government Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federated Government Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federated Government stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federated Government Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federated Government based on analysis of Federated Government hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federated Government's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federated Government's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Federated Government
The number of cover stories for Federated Government depends on current market conditions and Federated Government's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federated Government is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federated Government's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund
Federated Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Government security.
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