EVN AG (Germany) Price Prediction
| EVN Stock | EUR 20.60 0.50 2.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EVN AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EVN AG from the perspective of EVN AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EVN AG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EVN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EVN AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 20.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EVN |
EVN AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EVN AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EVN AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EVN AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EVN AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EVN AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EVN AG's historical news coverage. EVN AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.98 and 22.22, respectively. We have considered EVN AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EVN AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EVN AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
EVN AG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EVN AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EVN AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EVN AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.60 | 20.60 | 0.00 |
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EVN AG Hype Timeline
EVN AG is currently traded for 20.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EVN is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on EVN AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.60. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EVN AG last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2023. The entity had 4:1 split on the 17th of April 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out EVN AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EVN AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EVN AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EVN AG's future price movements. Getting to know how EVN AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EVN AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOW | Tower Semiconductor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.13 | 4.44 | (3.31) | 17.81 | |
| S49 | Singapore Reinsurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.11 | 3.60 | (2.92) | 14.49 | |
| 7XJ | LIFENET INSURANCE CO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 4.24 | (3.31) | 12.54 | |
| TSFA | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | 0.11 | 3.41 | (3.38) | 14.99 | |
| QBE | QBE Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.11 | 2.54 | (1.96) | 8.24 | |
| 5UI | Universal Insurance Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0 | 3.94 | (3.29) | 14.64 | |
| SMG | MagnaChip Semiconductor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.20 | (5.21) | 17.85 | |
| AF4 | The Hanover Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.10 | 2.92 | (1.96) | 7.23 |
EVN AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EVN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EVN using various technical indicators. When you analyze EVN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EVN AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EVN AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EVN AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EVN AG based on analysis of EVN AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EVN AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EVN AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for EVN AG
The number of cover stories for EVN AG depends on current market conditions and EVN AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EVN AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EVN AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EVN AG Short Properties
EVN AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when EVN AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EVN AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EVN AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EVN AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.2 M |
Complementary Tools for EVN Stock analysis
When running EVN AG's price analysis, check to measure EVN AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EVN AG is operating at the current time. Most of EVN AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EVN AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EVN AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EVN AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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