ESSILORLUXOTTICA (Germany) Price Prediction

ESLC Stock  EUR 114.00  1.00  0.87%   
As of 23rd of December 2024, The value of RSI of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ESSILORLUXOTTICA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ESSILORLUXOTTICA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ESSILORLUXOTTICA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ESSILORLUXOTTICA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON from the perspective of ESSILORLUXOTTICA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ESSILORLUXOTTICA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ESSILORLUXOTTICA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ESSILORLUXOTTICA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 114.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ESSILORLUXOTTICA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.60117.34118.70
Details

ESSILORLUXOTTICA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ESSILORLUXOTTICA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ESSILORLUXOTTICA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ESSILORLUXOTTICA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ESSILORLUXOTTICA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ESSILORLUXOTTICA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ESSILORLUXOTTICA's historical news coverage. ESSILORLUXOTTICA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.64 and 115.36, respectively. We have considered ESSILORLUXOTTICA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
114.00
112.64
Downside
114.00
After-hype Price
115.36
Upside
ESSILORLUXOTTICA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON is based on 3 months time horizon.

ESSILORLUXOTTICA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ESSILORLUXOTTICA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ESSILORLUXOTTICA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ESSILORLUXOTTICA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
114.00
114.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ESSILORLUXOTTICA Hype Timeline

ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON is currently traded for 114.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ESSILORLUXOTTICA is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on ESSILORLUXOTTICA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.00. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 900.0. ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out ESSILORLUXOTTICA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ESSILORLUXOTTICA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ESSILORLUXOTTICA's future price movements. Getting to know how ESSILORLUXOTTICA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ESSILORLUXOTTICA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ESSILORLUXOTTICA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ESSILORLUXOTTICA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ESSILORLUXOTTICA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ESSILORLUXOTTICA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ESSILORLUXOTTICA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ESSILORLUXOTTICA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ESSILORLUXOTTICA based on analysis of ESSILORLUXOTTICA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for ESSILORLUXOTTICA

The number of cover stories for ESSILORLUXOTTICA depends on current market conditions and ESSILORLUXOTTICA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ESSILORLUXOTTICA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ESSILORLUXOTTICA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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