Eurocastle Investment (Netherlands) Price Prediction
| ECT Stock | EUR 7.40 0.80 9.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Eurocastle Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eurocastle Investment from the perspective of Eurocastle Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eurocastle Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eurocastle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eurocastle Investment after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eurocastle |
Eurocastle Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eurocastle Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eurocastle Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eurocastle Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eurocastle Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eurocastle Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eurocastle Investment's historical news coverage. Eurocastle Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.37 and 16.43, respectively. We have considered Eurocastle Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eurocastle Investment is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eurocastle Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eurocastle Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eurocastle Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eurocastle Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eurocastle Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 9.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.40 | 7.40 | 0.00 |
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Eurocastle Investment Hype Timeline
Eurocastle Investment is currently traded for 7.40on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eurocastle is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eurocastle Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.40. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eurocastle Investment last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2019. The entity had 1:200 split on the 8th of May 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Eurocastle Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eurocastle Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eurocastle Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eurocastle Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Eurocastle Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eurocastle Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFG | Tetragon Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.20 | 4.04 | (2.02) | 15.13 | |
| CTAC | Ctac NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | (0.04) | 3.89 | (4.29) | 11.02 | |
| SRIL | iShares MSCI USA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0.0006) | 1.27 | (0.84) | 3.92 | |
| HYDRA | Hydratec Industries NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.05 | 5.00 | (5.41) | 13.38 | |
| IUSP | iShares Property Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.07) | 1.40 | (1.19) | 3.69 | |
| AALB | Aalberts Industries NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | (0.03) | 4.37 | (2.66) | 9.89 | |
| VALUE | Value8 NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.04) | 3.45 | (2.52) | 6.84 | |
| VUSA | Vanguard SP 500 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.27 | 0.13 | 1.06 | (1.03) | 5.48 | |
| IBTS | iShares Treasury Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.68 | (0.40) | 2.37 | |
| VUTY | Vanguard USD Treasury | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | (0.18) | 0.83 | (0.49) | 1.74 |
Eurocastle Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eurocastle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eurocastle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eurocastle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eurocastle Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eurocastle Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eurocastle Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eurocastle Investment based on analysis of Eurocastle Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eurocastle Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eurocastle Investment's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Eurocastle Investment
The number of cover stories for Eurocastle Investment depends on current market conditions and Eurocastle Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eurocastle Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eurocastle Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eurocastle Investment Short Properties
Eurocastle Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eurocastle Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eurocastle Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eurocastle Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eurocastle Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M |
Additional Tools for Eurocastle Stock Analysis
When running Eurocastle Investment's price analysis, check to measure Eurocastle Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eurocastle Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Eurocastle Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eurocastle Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eurocastle Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eurocastle Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.