DFS Furniture (Germany) Price Prediction
DF0 Stock | 1.63 0.03 1.81% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using DFS Furniture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DFS Furniture PLC from the perspective of DFS Furniture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DFS Furniture to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DFS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DFS Furniture after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DFS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DFS Furniture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DFS Furniture After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DFS Furniture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DFS Furniture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DFS Furniture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
DFS Furniture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DFS Furniture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DFS Furniture's historical news coverage. DFS Furniture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 3.97, respectively. We have considered DFS Furniture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DFS Furniture is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DFS Furniture PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
DFS Furniture Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DFS Furniture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DFS Furniture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DFS Furniture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.63 | 1.63 | 0.00 |
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DFS Furniture Hype Timeline
DFS Furniture PLC is currently traded for 1.63on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. DFS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on DFS Furniture is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.63. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DFS Furniture PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 15:1 split on the 17th of November 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out DFS Furniture Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DFS Furniture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DFS Furniture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DFS Furniture's future price movements. Getting to know how DFS Furniture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DFS Furniture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
WN6 | CarsalesCom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.65 | (2.48) | 10.86 | |
FOO0 | SALESFORCE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.04 | 4.62 | (4.38) | 24.18 | |
FOO | Salesforce | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.58 | (2.83) | 12.93 | |
1HTA | HYATT HOTELS A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.24 | (3.03) | 13.19 | |
BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
EM7A | Emperor Entertainment Hotel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.85 | (2.00) | 18.33 |
DFS Furniture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze DFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About DFS Furniture Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DFS Furniture stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DFS Furniture PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DFS Furniture based on analysis of DFS Furniture hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DFS Furniture's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DFS Furniture's related companies.
Story Coverage note for DFS Furniture
The number of cover stories for DFS Furniture depends on current market conditions and DFS Furniture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DFS Furniture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DFS Furniture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DFS Furniture Short Properties
DFS Furniture's future price predictability will typically decrease when DFS Furniture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DFS Furniture PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DFS Furniture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DFS Furniture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.8 M | |
Dividend Yield | 0.0474 | |
Short Term Investments | 12.8 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 12.3 M |
Additional Tools for DFS Stock Analysis
When running DFS Furniture's price analysis, check to measure DFS Furniture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DFS Furniture is operating at the current time. Most of DFS Furniture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DFS Furniture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DFS Furniture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DFS Furniture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.