Deutsche Bank Ag Stock Price Prediction

DB Stock  USD 17.47  0.12  0.68%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Deutsche Bank's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Deutsche Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Deutsche Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deutsche Bank AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Deutsche Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.446
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.44
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.19
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.85
Wall Street Target Price
15.43
Using Deutsche Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deutsche Bank AG from the perspective of Deutsche Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Deutsche Bank using Deutsche Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Deutsche using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Deutsche Bank's stock price.

Deutsche Bank Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Deutsche Bank's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Deutsche. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Deutsche Bank stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
15.975
Short Percent
0.004
Short Ratio
5.15
Shares Short Prior Month
15 M
50 Day MA
17.0654

Deutsche Bank AG Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Deutsche Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Deutsche. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Deutsche can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Deutsche Bank AG. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Deutsche Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Deutsche Bank.

Deutsche Bank Implied Volatility

    
  0.0474  
Deutsche Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Deutsche Bank AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Deutsche Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Deutsche Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Deutsche Bank's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deutsche Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deutsche because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Deutsche Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6814.4319.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0017.7519.50
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.6611.7113.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.550.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Bank AG.

Deutsche Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Deutsche Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deutsche Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deutsche Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Deutsche Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Deutsche Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deutsche Bank's historical news coverage. Deutsche Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.83 and 19.33, respectively. We have considered Deutsche Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.47
17.58
After-hype Price
19.33
Upside
Deutsche Bank is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Bank AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Deutsche Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Deutsche Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deutsche Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deutsche Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.75
  0.01 
  0.04 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.47
17.58
0.06 
1,167  
Notes

Deutsche Bank Hype Timeline

As of December 4, 2024 Deutsche Bank AG is listed for 17.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Deutsche is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Bank is about 449.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.51. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Deutsche Bank AG last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. The entity had 1048:1000 split on the 6th of June 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deutsche Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Deutsche Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deutsche Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Deutsche Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deutsche Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BBDBanco Bradesco SA 0.03 11 per month 0.00 (0.30) 2.30 (3.89) 9.51 
ITUBItau Unibanco Banco 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.28 (2.96) 10.08 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation 1.49 12 per month 2.15  0.04  3.91 (3.17) 19.53 
CMAComerica 0.91 8 per month 1.38  0.12  3.23 (2.64) 14.10 
KEYKeyCorp(0.17)5 per month 1.41  0.03  2.97 (2.51) 19.86 
TFCTruist Financial Corp 1.10 9 per month 1.30 (0.01) 2.26 (2.46) 12.77 
ZIONZions Bancorporation(0.39)12 per month 1.50  0.07  3.51 (2.89) 20.65 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated 0.17 9 per month 0.92  0.08  2.75 (2.28) 14.20 
USBUS Bancorp 0.14 11 per month 1.20  0.04  2.86 (2.31) 10.98 
BMABanco Macro SA 0.60 12 per month 2.30  0.16  5.60 (3.65) 13.16 

Deutsche Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Deutsche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deutsche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deutsche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Deutsche Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Deutsche Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deutsche Bank AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deutsche Bank based on analysis of Deutsche Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deutsche Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deutsche Bank's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01570.01840.02390.0307
Price To Sales Ratio0.910.830.881.21

Story Coverage note for Deutsche Bank

The number of cover stories for Deutsche Bank depends on current market conditions and Deutsche Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deutsche Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deutsche Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Deutsche Bank Short Properties

Deutsche Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deutsche Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deutsche Bank AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deutsche Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments213.4 B

Complementary Tools for Deutsche Stock analysis

When running Deutsche Bank's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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