Danaos Stock Price Prediction
| DAC Stock | USD 79.01 0.21 0.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 27.315 | EPS Estimate Next Year 28.965 | Wall Street Target Price 101 |
Using Danaos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Danaos from the perspective of Danaos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Danaos to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Danaos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Danaos after-hype prediction price | USD 79.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Danaos |
Danaos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Danaos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Danaos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Danaos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Danaos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Danaos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Danaos' historical news coverage. Danaos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.38 and 80.62, respectively. We have considered Danaos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Danaos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Danaos is based on 3 months time horizon.
Danaos Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Danaos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Danaos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Danaos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.58 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
79.01 | 79.00 | 0.01 |
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Danaos Hype Timeline
On the 29th of November Danaos is traded for 79.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Danaos is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 79.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Danaos is about 582.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.00. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Danaos has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 28.89. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2024. Danaos had 1:14 split on the 2nd of May 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Danaos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Danaos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Danaos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Danaos' future price movements. Getting to know how Danaos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Danaos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OP | Oceanpal | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.33 | (5.71) | 15.48 | |
| SB | Safe Bulkers | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.13 | (3.42) | 9.36 | |
| SB-PC | Safe Bulkers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | (0.24) | 0.67 | (0.67) | 2.33 | |
| SB-PD | Safe Bulkers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | (0.18) | 0.81 | (0.59) | 2.89 | |
| EDRY | EuroDry | (0.30) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 1.96 | (3.86) | 8.90 | |
| DAC | Danaos | (0.48) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.46 | (3.14) | 8.98 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.14 | (3.91) | 17.12 | |
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | (0.53) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.54 | (3.32) | 7.25 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (1.18) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.46 | (2.87) | 8.24 |
Danaos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Danaos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Danaos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Danaos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Danaos Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Danaos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Danaos, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Danaos based on analysis of Danaos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Danaos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Danaos's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.041 | 0.0389 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 2.06 |
Story Coverage note for Danaos
The number of cover stories for Danaos depends on current market conditions and Danaos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Danaos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Danaos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Danaos Short Properties
Danaos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Danaos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Danaos often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Danaos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danaos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 357.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Danaos Stock analysis
When running Danaos' price analysis, check to measure Danaos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danaos is operating at the current time. Most of Danaos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danaos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danaos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danaos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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