Caretrust Reit Stock Price Prediction

CTRE Stock  USD 28.42  0.72  2.60%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CareTrust REIT's share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CareTrust REIT, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CareTrust REIT's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CareTrust REIT and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CareTrust REIT's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CareTrust REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CareTrust REIT's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.322
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3425
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.45
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.545
Wall Street Target Price
31.5556
Using CareTrust REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CareTrust REIT from the perspective of CareTrust REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CareTrust REIT using CareTrust REIT's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CareTrust using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CareTrust REIT's stock price.

CareTrust REIT Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CareTrust REIT's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CareTrust. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CareTrust REIT stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
27.9986
Short Percent
0.0406
Short Ratio
2.95
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
26.4232

CareTrust REIT Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CareTrust REIT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CareTrust. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CareTrust can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CareTrust REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CareTrust REIT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CareTrust REIT.

CareTrust REIT Implied Volatility

    
  0.84  
CareTrust REIT's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CareTrust REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CareTrust REIT's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CareTrust REIT stock will not fluctuate a lot when CareTrust REIT's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CareTrust REIT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CareTrust because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CareTrust REIT after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CareTrust contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CareTrust REIT will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With CareTrust REIT trading at USD 28.42, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CareTrust REIT's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CareTrust REIT options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out CareTrust REIT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CareTrust Stock refer to our How to Trade CareTrust Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0829.8731.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.1528.9430.73
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.3032.2035.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.360.36
Details

CareTrust REIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CareTrust REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CareTrust REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CareTrust REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CareTrust REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CareTrust REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CareTrust REIT's historical news coverage. CareTrust REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.63 and 30.21, respectively. We have considered CareTrust REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.42
28.42
After-hype Price
30.21
Upside
CareTrust REIT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CareTrust REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.

CareTrust REIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CareTrust REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CareTrust REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CareTrust REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.79
 0.00  
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.42
28.42
0.00 
716.00  
Notes

CareTrust REIT Hype Timeline

CareTrust REIT is currently traded for 28.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CareTrust is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on CareTrust REIT is about 3835.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.42. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CareTrust REIT has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out CareTrust REIT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CareTrust Stock refer to our How to Trade CareTrust Stock guide.

CareTrust REIT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CareTrust REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CareTrust REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how CareTrust REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CareTrust REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GMREGlobal Medical REIT(0.10)8 per month 1.42  0.13  3.05 (2.25) 6.89 
UHTUniversal Health Realty(0.12)6 per month 1.22  0.12  2.85 (2.29) 6.69 
DOCHealthpeak Properties(0.20)12 per month 0.00  0.05  1.92 (2.59) 5.80 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust 0.05 12 per month 0.00  0.01  2.10 (2.61) 5.19 
SBRASabra Healthcare REIT(0.07)9 per month 0.00  0.04  2.61 (3.05) 6.66 
CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust(0.08)8 per month 1.80  0.1  2.63 (2.74) 9.84 
VTRVentas Inc 0.13 10 per month 1.44  0.15  2.36 (2.42) 12.29 
OHIOmega Healthcare Investors(0.43)10 per month 0.00  0.05  2.50 (2.66) 7.55 
NHINational Health Investors 0.40 7 per month 1.65  0.08  2.33 (2.79) 5.14 

CareTrust REIT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CareTrust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CareTrust using various technical indicators. When you analyze CareTrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CareTrust REIT Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CareTrust REIT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CareTrust REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CareTrust REIT based on analysis of CareTrust REIT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CareTrust REIT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CareTrust REIT's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05910.04870.04110.0589
Price To Sales Ratio9.5810.8914.137.62

Story Coverage note for CareTrust REIT

The number of cover stories for CareTrust REIT depends on current market conditions and CareTrust REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CareTrust REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CareTrust REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CareTrust REIT Short Properties

CareTrust REIT's future price predictability will typically decrease when CareTrust REIT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CareTrust REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CareTrust REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CareTrust REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding155.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments213.8 M

Complementary Tools for CareTrust Stock analysis

When running CareTrust REIT's price analysis, check to measure CareTrust REIT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CareTrust REIT is operating at the current time. Most of CareTrust REIT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CareTrust REIT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CareTrust REIT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CareTrust REIT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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