Caldwell Orkin Market Fund Price Prediction

COAGX Fund  USD 52.07  0.50  0.95%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Caldwell Orkin's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Caldwell, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Caldwell Orkin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caldwell Orkin Market, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Caldwell Orkin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caldwell Orkin Market from the perspective of Caldwell Orkin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caldwell Orkin to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caldwell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Caldwell Orkin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 52.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Caldwell Orkin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.8655.9957.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.4550.7852.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.1051.8055.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Caldwell Orkin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Caldwell Orkin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Caldwell Orkin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Caldwell Orkin Market.

Caldwell Orkin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Caldwell Orkin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caldwell Orkin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Caldwell Orkin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Caldwell Orkin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Caldwell Orkin's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caldwell Orkin's historical news coverage. Caldwell Orkin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.73 and 53.37, respectively. We have considered Caldwell Orkin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
52.07
52.05
After-hype Price
53.37
Upside
Caldwell Orkin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caldwell Orkin Market is based on 3 months time horizon.

Caldwell Orkin Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Caldwell Orkin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caldwell Orkin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caldwell Orkin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.31
  0.02 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.07
52.05
0.04 
1,638  
Notes

Caldwell Orkin Hype Timeline

Caldwell Orkin Market is currently traded for 52.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Caldwell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 52.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Caldwell Orkin is about 1228.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.10. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Caldwell Orkin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Caldwell Orkin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Caldwell Orkin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caldwell Orkin's future price movements. Getting to know how Caldwell Orkin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caldwell Orkin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Caldwell Orkin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caldwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caldwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caldwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Caldwell Orkin Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Caldwell Orkin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caldwell Orkin Market, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caldwell Orkin based on analysis of Caldwell Orkin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caldwell Orkin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caldwell Orkin's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Caldwell Orkin

The number of cover stories for Caldwell Orkin depends on current market conditions and Caldwell Orkin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caldwell Orkin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caldwell Orkin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Caldwell Mutual Fund

Caldwell Orkin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caldwell Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caldwell with respect to the benefits of owning Caldwell Orkin security.
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